SBI

Focus on Technology aided Market Share Growth – SBI

Update on Indian Equity Market:
On Tuesday, markets ended lower with Nifty closing 120 points down at 15,632. ASIANPAINT (+5.4%), ULTRACEMCO (+1.8%), HINDUNILVR (+1.0%) were the top gainers on the index while HINDALCO (-3.7%), INDUSINDBK (-3.2%) and TATASTEEL (-2.7%) were the top losers for the day. Among the sectoral indices, FMCG (+0.1%) was the sole gainer, while MEDIA (-2.6%), REALTY (-2.5%) and METAL (-2.3%) were top losers.

Excerpts of an interview with Mr. Dinesh Khara, Chairman of SBI with ET NOW on 16th July 2021:

  • SBI’s growth is directly linked with India’s growth story. The Bank expects its loan book to grow across both working capital and term loan segments at 8% if the Indian economy grows around the same rate.
    The 2nd wave impact has been reduced now. The activities are recovering to March-21 i.e pre- 2nd wave levels due to a dip in cases and increased vaccination exposure, the commodity cycle and consumer demand are now back to March-21 levels.
  • The Bank was not caught off guard during the 2nd wave as it was during the first wave. It was well prepared and did not face headwinds during the second wave.
  • RBI’s timely intervention to address resolutions of NPAs has helped the bank manage its asset quality with regards to exposure to the MSME sector and has provided much-needed relief for the sector.
    SBI is a proxy for the Indian economy.
  • The NPA cycle, both net and gross, has reached a 5 year low, so the growth in the Indian Economy in the longer term and the bank’s capabilities to manage its loan book indicate a similar trajectory going ahead.
  • Listing of SBI MF is on the cards, the discussion is ongoing with the JV Partner. They are awaiting a unanimous decision and expect some movement in the upcoming quarters.
  • Fintech Space dominated by Paytm is demonstrating attractiveness to premium valuations, however, the Bank wants to focus its fintech segment SBI YONO to create long-term value for its stakeholders and doesn’t plan to list it for an IPO.
  • Fintech players operate in a niche segment, who don’t offer full-scale banking operations, so it’s an excellent opportunity for the bank to collaborate with such players to expand its growth drivers.
  • The Flight to Safety approach in uncertain times has helped large banks grow their liabilities and by extension, their loan book during the pandemic, the bank expects further consolidation of market share among top players.
  • The Capex and Credit Cycle recovery is evidential in the Cement, Iron and Steel, and the FMCG sectors with some capacity expansion on the cards.

Asset Multiplier Comments:

  • SBI, India’s largest bank is a proxy to India’s growth story. The bank is well-positioned to take benefit of all the disruptions and growth possibilities offered by the pandemic.
  • SBI has separated itself from other PSU banks that are riddled with operational inefficiencies and rigid cost structures, making it an attractive proposition in the banking sector.

Consensus Estimates (Source: market screener website):

  • The closing price of SBI was ₹ 421/- as of 20-July-2021. It traded at 1.4x/1.2x/1x the Book Value per Share (BVPS) estimate of ₹ 309/ ₹ 354/ ₹ 397 for FY22E/23E/24E respectively.
  • The consensus price target is ₹ 515/- which trades at 1.3x the BVPS estimate for FY24E of ₹ 397/-

Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

Will offer better interest rates to depositors once loan book starts growing – State Bank of India

Update on the Indian Equity Market:

On Tuesday, NIFTY ended marginally higher at 15208 (+0.1%) as it could not sustain the intraday higher levels. Among the sectoral indices, MEDIA (+3.2%), IT (+1.0%), and AUTO (+0.7%) ended higher while PSU BANK (-1.3%), PRIVATE BANK (-0.9%), and BANK (-0.8%) led the losers. Among the stocks, ASIANPAINT (+3.5%), TITAN (+3.3%), and JSWSTEEL (+3.0%) led the gainers while HDFCBANK (-1.9%), HDFCLIFE (-1.4%), and AXISBANK (-1.2%) led the losers.

Excerpts of an interview with Mr. Dinesh Khara, Chairman, State Bank of India (SBIN) published in The Economic Times on 23rd May 2021:

  • SBIN has been cautious in terms of building a healthy balance sheet. After careful evaluation and ensuring there are enough risk mitigants, they underwrite the risk.
  • There has been a growth in the retail book, and the retail book’s stress is the least possible. The growth in the retail book provides a decent earnings headroom in the future.
  • The corporate credit growth in 4QFY21 looks muted but they have sanctioned limits that have been utilised to the extent of ~30%. They have seen 70% utilisation. There are sanctioned term loans that have not been availed to the extent of 28-30%.
  • They expect strong growth post demand recovery once Covid 2.0 subsidies. He is hopeful of robust credit growth in the corporate segment going forward. The Agriculture segment is going to be in focus in FY22 in addition to retaining the retail advances growth.
  • The resolution framework (RF) 2 announced on May 5 allows the banks to offer the resolution up to Rs 250 mn to individuals. The individuals in the personal loan segment can be offered the resolution or restructuring as needed.
  • SBIN does not expect much of a problem in the cash flow of their retail borrowers. There could be some anxieties but the bank isn’t concerned much.
  • When it comes to raising funds from the market, it is a function of liquidity in the market. Going forward, Mr. Khara believes the corporates will continue to borrow from banks. Depending upon their risk rating, corporates will be looking at borrowing from the markets. Bank borrowing or borrowing from the market, the only difference is the instrument. SBIN is a strong player in the market borrowing and has a treasury book of Rs 13000 bn.
  • In 4QFY21, the credit costs have gone down by more than 100bps but credit costs evolve as it will be a function of the macro and how the book behaves going forward. They would prefer to maintain the credit costs at these levels because going below the current levels would affect the profitability.
  • SBIN would prefer to offer better interest rates to depositors once the loan book starts growing.
  • Khara believes the deposit rates have bottomed out and there would not be any further cutting down of the deposit rate.
  • Economic situation permitting, SBIN would like to build the loan book and he expects to grow at a pace of at least 10%.

Asset Multiplier Comments

  • SBIN has been focusing on improving asset quality with credit cost and slippages reported in 4QFY21 being the lowest in 20 years. Despite Covid-19 induced stress, the retail loan book has done well and is stable.
  • With a gradual recovery in the return ratios, there could be a much better translation of operating profit to net profit in FY22-23E led by lower credit costs.

Consensus Estimate: (Source: market screener and investing.com websites)

  • The closing price of SBIN was ₹ 414/- as of 25-May-2021. It traded at 1.4x/ 1.2x the consensus book value estimate of ₹ 300/ 339 for FY22E/FY23E respectively.
  • The consensus target price of ₹ 456/- implies a PB multiple of 1.3x on FY23E BV of ₹ 339/-.

Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

Slippages and Credit cost to remain within guidance: State Bank of India

Update on Indian Equity Market:

Markets bounced back from Monday’s steep decline as Nifty closed the day 32 points higher at 14,708. Within the index, TATASTEEL (7.2%), TATAMOTORS (6.6%) and HINDALCO (5.7%) charged the index higher while KOTAKBANK (-3.9%), ADANIPORTS (-1.7%) and MARUTI (-1.6%) lagged the index. Among the sectoral indices, METAL (3.9%), REALTY (2.7%) and AUTO (0.8%) led the winners while FIN SERVICE (-0.5%), PVT BANK (-0.5%) and BANK (-0.4%) led the losing sectors.

Excerpts of an interview with Mr Dinesh Khara, Chairman, State Bank of India Ltd (SBIN) with CNBC -TV18 dated 22nd February 2021:

  • The bank is currently using data analytics to have more effective control over the quality of the loan book. All the measures have resulted in an improvement in the asset quality for the bank.
  • The quality of unsecured loan book depends upon the underwriting of the book. In the unsecured loan portfolio held by the bank, the majority of borrowers are salaried employees either from Government, the public sector or well-rated corporates. To that extent, although it is unsecured, there are no challenges in this book.
  • The corporate loan to working capital book ratio stands at 70:30 at present. He expects working capital utilization to improve with improving capacity utilization. 
  • The bank is not looking at the divestment of any subsidiary at the moment. He said that the bank will evaluate various options available for capital raising in the next financial year and could look at investment in the mutual fund business.
  • The bank is keeping a close watch on the stressed assets’ book and is making efforts via one-time settlement and other means to recover the loans as soon as possible. The slippages and credit cost is expected to remain within the guidance given by the bank.  
  • Digital transactions have gone up significantly in the current year. It has gone to the extent of 64% of the total transactions. The bank is trying to reduce its operating costs to improve cost to income ratio.

 Asset Multiplier Comments:

  • The focus on asset quality and the use of data analytics to keep watch on the quality of the book will lead to prompt decision making regarding the health of the loan book. With this, the confidence to achieve credit cost and slippages as per guidance reflects well for the company.
  • With the pick-up in economic activities, the improvement in collection efficiency augurs well for the banking industry. This will strengthen the asset quality as per the expectation of management.
  • The intent of taking efforts to monetize the stressed assets’ book will help the bank to strengthen the balance sheet over the period of time.

Consensus Estimates (Source: market screener and investing.com websites):

  • The closing price of SBIN was ₹ 397/- as of 23-February-2021.  It traded at 1.5x/ 1.3x/ 1.2x the consensus book value estimate of ₹ 269/ 301/ 340 for FY21E/22E/23E respectively.
  • The consensus price target is ₹ 385/- which trades at 1.1x the book value estimate for FY23E of ₹ 340/-

Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

 

Concluded the issuance of bonds to fund overseas business- SBI

Update on the Indian Equity Market:
On Monday Nifty closed 1% higher at 14,485. Among the sectoral indices, IT (+3.3%), Auto (+2.6%), and Realty (+0.6%) closed higher. Media (-1.5%), PSU Bank (-1.5%), and METAL (-1.0%) were the sectoral indices that closed lower. Tata Motors (+12.6%), HCL Tech (+5.9%), and Infosys (+4.8%) closed on a positive note. Tata Steel (-2.6%), Bajaj Finance (-1.9%), and Adani Ports (-1.9%) were among the top losers.

Excerpts from an interview of Mr. Ashwani Bhatia, MD, SBI with CNBC-TV18 dated 8th January 2020:
● State Bank of India (SBI), has concluded the issuance of USD 600mn from bonds to fund the expansion of their overseas business.
● Mr. Ashwani Bhatia said there was a funding gap on the overseas side and this was the right time to fill it.
● SBI is the first bank to raise money post the Covid crisis. The spreads are better as compared to the last 6-7 years.
● Speaking about asset quality on the domestic side, he said the bank has not seen the gloom that was anticipated on slippages.
● On credit growth, he said there could be 8-9% growth in 2HFY21. The demand is coming back and, retail has been a good surprise.
● The decision taken by the central government, RBI, and tax cuts in Maharashtra has helped the bank.
● On loan growth, he said the bank is sitting on excess SLR and it can be used for the economy in the next 3 months. The bank reported a growth of 8% and the expectation is to touch double digits.
● In terms of recovery, he said Rs 7,000-10,000 cr of recovery is expected.
Consensus Estimate: (Source: market screener and investing.com websites)
● The closing price of SBI was ₹ 283 as of 11-January-2020. It traded at 1x/ 0.9x/ 0.8x the consensus BVPS per share estimate of ₹ 262/286/318 for FY21E/ FY22E/ FY23E respectively.
● The consensus average target price for SBI is ₹ 312/- which implies a PB multiple of 0.9x on FY23E BVPS of 318/-.
Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

Demand for loans coming back – SBI

Update on the Indian Equity Market:
On Thursday, Nifty 50 ended at 13,134 (+0.2%). Among the stocks, MARUTI (+7.3%), NTPC (+4.2%), and ONGC (+4.2%) ended with gains while SBILIFE (-2.0%), HDFCBANK (-1.8%), and TCS (-1.4%) ended the day with losses. Among the sectoral gainers, PSU BANK (+4.8%), MEDIA (+2.8%), and METAL (+2.5%) led the gainers and IT (-0.5%), PRIVATE BANK (-0.5%), and FINANCIAL SERVICES (-0.3%) led the laggards.

Excerpts of an interview with Mr. Dinesh Khara, Chairman, State Bank of India (SBIN) published in Business Standard on 3rd December 2020:
• The bank is cautious about loan demand from vaccine manufacturers given the huge investments which may turn sour if central approvals are not forthcoming. Proposals worth Rs 1,000 crore have been received from the pharmaceutical segments.
• When there is unlocking, there is demand revival, which is going to be the main growth engine in the current scenario. He expects the demand to be back with a vengeance after covid.
• There has been a significant improvement in sanctions and disbursements to unsecured personal loans and express credit loans. In September, in the personal loans space, there was 55% growth year-on-year. Disbursements went up as high as 61 percent. In the home loans segment, there was a 49% growth.
• SBIN has taken stock of the special mention accounts (SMA) 1 and 2 and there is time till March 31 for carrying on the restructuring exercise. There is an internal target of completing 50% of restructuring by December, and the rest by February.
• They have given unsecured loans to customers who have been maintaining their salary accounts, employed with either the government or well-rated private sector corporates.
• Recovery is ensured through the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code, restructuring, and the non-discretionary one-time settlement schemes. One major resolution went through in the early part of this quarter.
• There has been a delay in big accounts in financial sectors looking for resolution due to litigation. In such cases, an elaborate process is laid out, and timelines given for such accounts are stringent.
• In the recent past, they have raised tier I and tier II capital with prices set at the benchmark.
• SBIN had the work-from-home policy in 2017 and the pandemic has helped SBIN leverage this policy. They have reframed this policy to ‘work from anywhere’ and digitised some of the non-customer facing activities as well. They can’t have a work-from-home policy for everyone as they are a customer-facing organisation and need to engage with customers.
• When YONO, SBIN’s digital banking app was put in place, it was to be a distribution platform for the bank’s products. The definite and concrete plans in terms of listing it will be shared in some time.
• In the post-Covid world, some in-person meetings will probably come back. There will be a paradigm shift when it comes to the way SBIN has been conducting themselves in the past to the way they will conduct themselves in the future.

Consensus Estimate: (Source: market screener and investing.com websites)
• The closing price of SBIN was ₹ 256/- as of 03-December-2020. It traded at 1x/ 0.9x/ 0.8x the consensus book value estimate of ₹ 262/ 286/ 318 for FY21E/ FY22E/FY23E respectively.
• The consensus target price of ₹ 276/- implies a PB multiple of 0.9x on FY23E BV of ₹ 318/-.

Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

Economy going through a transitory phase, we may witness more changes – SBI

Update on the Indian Equity Market:
On Monday, Nifty ended 1.6% higher at 11,228 on the back of positive global cues and domestic factors like possible stimulus package from the government and capital support to some PSU banks. The top gainers for Nifty 50 were IndusInd bank (+8.0%), Bajaj Finance (+6.4%), and Axis Bank (+5.5%) while the losing stocks for the day Wipro (-0.8%), HUL (-0.5%), and Nestle India (-0.1%). All the sectors were in the green zone. Top gaining sectors were Media (+4.8%), Pvt Bank (+3.6%) and PSU Bank (+3.3%).

Edited excerpts of an interview with Mr Dinesh Kumar Khara, MB, State Bank of India Ltd; dated 27th September 2020 from Economic Times:

• There are certain sectors in the economy seeing some positive traction. The way things have emerged in terms of the health and hygiene issues, it has led to a situation where there was a fear psychosis in the mind of everybody and also a buzz where people started conserving cash. But in some of the sectors like FMCG, steel sectors having demand-led growth opportunities, are seeing very good traction.
• In the auto sector, small cars are something which is on the upside as far as demand is concerned.
• People are willing to come out and contribute to the economic activity, but at the same time, they have got some fear psychosis in terms of health and hygiene.
• The credit growth according to him is around 7%. Slicing it further, Consumer credit is actually on the growth cycle. But the corporate credit has a tendency to deleverage. This is because they are in a bit of uncertainty. They are not yet into the investment cycle. But there is some kind of traction when it comes to certain sectors like the road sector where improvement is seen.
• People are looking for the right signals or some bit of positivity and once it is seen, they will go all out to support the economic activity. That is how he reads the situation.
• When the pandemic kicked in, people had not visualised how they would be in a position to carry out their business continuity plans (BCPs) and reinvented their BCPs. In about six months from then, it has come to a situation where the new realities in terms of working from home have come in, leading to a situation where there could be challenges in lease rentals. Thus, he expects some kind of consolidation to happen.
• In terms of the lease rentals for offices, the high-quality buildings are not facing any challenge whereas the ones which were not of as good quality are facing some challenges. The new cost norms are emerging as social distancing will require even more space in the office and that is also a reality.
• Towards the end of this financial year, when things start improving, they will improve at a very fast pace. It is not likely to be a normal secular trend which has been witnessed in the past.
• If the unlock of activities continues and the Country is in a position to address the health and hygiene issues more effectively in terms of living with the pandemic, there is a possibility that India may get to see better performance as compared to what is being seen now. This is because the most important component here is the confidence of the consumers and that is a function of how people are in a position to navigate this particular problem relating to corona.
• RBI is keeping the liquidity in a fairly easy position and that is something which is ensuring that all these instruments which are there should remain liquid and there should not be any setback to the economy.
• SME funding has been envisaged through the GCL kind of a concept wherein the government is giving the guarantee to financiers and is ensuring that there is no unduly strain on the capital of the banks.
• There is a very clear effort on the part of the government to ensure that there is an amicable resolution of the problem related to GST dues.

Consensus Estimate: (Source: market screener website)
• The closing price of State Bank India was ₹ 187/- as of 28-September-2020. It traded at 0.7x/ 0.7x/0.6x the consensus book value estimate of ₹ 258/279/307 for FY21E/ FY22E/ FY23E respectively.
• The consensus target price of ₹ 265/- implies a PB multiple of 0.9x on FY23E Book Value of ₹ 307/-.
Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

‘Even with Covid, our fresh slippages will be in control’ – SBI

Update on the Indian Equity Market:
On Monday, NIFTY ended up 81 pts (+0.7%) at 11,259.
Among the sectoral indices, MEDIA (+2.6%), AUTO (+2.4%) and METAL (+2.5%) were top gainers while PSUBANK (-0.5%) and PHARMA (-0.3%) were the losers.
Among the stocks, NTPC (+7.5%), EICHERMOT (+4.8%) and ZEEL (+4.7%) were the top gainers. SBI (-1.6%), BHARTIARTL (-1.5%) and BPCL (-1.3%) were the top losers.

‘Even with Covid, our fresh slippages will be in control’ – SBI

Edited excerpts of an interview with Mr. Rajnish Kumar, Chairman of SBI with Business Standard dated 14th Aug, 2020:

SBI Chairman Rajnish Kumar doesn’t see any reason to fear a sudden rise in bad debt during the pandemic. Legacy loans are well taken care of, the bank has enough capital, and the exposure to sectors affected by the Covid-19 stress is minuscule in relation to the balance sheet.

• His comments on restructuring of retail loans: SBI team is working on what the policy would be and to whom the relief should be extended. But mostly, the relief, if needed, would be for housing loans where a person has lost a job and is unable to pay his EMI or there’s been a temporary salary cut. In the case of SBI, the housing loan book under moratorium is about ~ Rs 32,000 crore. But he believes most customers would start paying EMIs from September as the moratorium comes to an end. But whoever needs relief should get it.
• When asked whether banks will have enough time to prepare resolution for all under the latest restructuring scheme, he replied that he doesn’t think they will have to wait for the RBI for such an exercise. There are not many accounts in the corporate group of ~ Rs 1,500 crore and above which would need to go to the committee because a lot of work has already happened under the June 7 framework. There will be some modalities that the committee will suggest, but the ground work such as who would need restructuring, their projections, estimations, etc., can be done.
• His views on banker’s ability to project the topline and bottom line: Future projection is the first thing that is considered in any proposal. Of course, the Covid-19 scenario brings in a lot of uncertainty. Nobody knows how long the pandemic will continue and what the revival plan will be. When you give credit or restructure, it’s based on certain assumptions, and even the current exercise will have to return to those assumptions, particularly for the term loans. The maximum one can postpone or restructure the instalments is for two years. So, whoever had to pay in five years will have to pay now in seven years. Another criterion is that the account should be performing. Whatever you have to do is within these two boundaries.
• When asked if SBI will need additional funds for the restructuring exercise he informed that the bank already has Rs 20,000 crs as an enabling provision. SBI will need to raise money from the equity market only if there is a growth in assets, for any sort of provisions for bad loans. For any risk capital, SBI have sufficient earnings and have the value sitting in subsidiaries.
• He stated that restructuring for retail has come for the first time, and is sure that lenders will make their assessment of portfolio. Moratorium by itself is not a pointer that everybody would apply or need restructuring. In the case of SBI, housing loans worth Rs 32,000 crore are under moratorium where zero or one installment has been paid. He believes many of them will start paying from September as moratorium was available and they were preserving cash. The loan to value for SBI in this segment is 60%. The restructuring would be needed in cases where income was impacted which is not a huge number and hence, any fear of large-scale restructuring is uncalled for.
• When asked whether he is concerned about the NPA situation if the pandemic lingers, he said that the scenarios are not uniform for every bank or every institution, it depends on the underwriting practices, or to which sectors they are exposed to, and what their level of risk diversification is. When negative growth is expected, it is natural that stress in the system will go up. It is a wait and watch situation for everyone. In the last three years, most banks have done a lot of clean-up and provision coverage ratio are at an all-time high. As for SBI, the provision coverage ratio (PCR) has improved from 61 to more than 86 per cent. Legacy NPA today is 1.86 per cent, and it was 5 per cent plus.
• He further commented on bad debt impact for SBI: He informed that SBI’s legacy costs are very minimal. As an example, today, in the corporate book, SBI’S net NPA is Rs 10,500 crore. Just one quarter’s earnings are sufficient to make it zero. The corporate book has no legacy credit cost left. In baseline scenario, not accounting for Covid, it is 1-1.5 per cent of slippages. Considering Covid, he believes in the worst-case scenario this 1.5 per cent can become 2.5-3 per cent. SBI’s exposure to the sectors impacted by Covid-19 is minuscule in relation to the size of the balance sheet.

Consensus Estimate: (Source: market screener, investing.com websites)

• The closing price of SBI was ₹ 193/- as of 17-Aug-2020. It traded at 0.76x/0.7x/0.64x the consensus book value estimate of ₹ 258/279/305 per share for FY21E/ FY22E/ FY23E respectively.
• The consensus target price of ₹ 265/- implies a PB multiple of 0.86x on FY23E BVPS of ₹ 305/-

Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

Stake sale in SBI Life done only to meet minimum public shareholding requirements- SBI

Update on the Indian Equity Market:

On Monday, NIFTY closed in the red at 9,814 (-1.6%). Top gainers in NIFTY50 were GAIL (+3.7%), Wipro (+2.6) and HCLT (+2.5%). The top losers were IndusInd Bank (-7.2%), Axis bank (-4.5%) and Tata Motors (-4.4%). The three sectoral gainers were PSU Banks (+1.4%), Media (+0.9%), and Pharma (+0.1%). The sectoral losers were Pvt bank (-3.8%), Bank (-3.6%) and Realty (-3.0%).

Edited excerpts of an interview with Mr Dinesh Kumar Khara, MD, SBI with Economic times dated 12th June 2020:

  • Stake sale in SBI Life has not been done just with the intention of shoring up capital with the bank. It is more from the point of view of meeting the minimum public shareholding (MPS) requirement. They are under commitment to offload another 2.1% by the end of September.
  • The current shareholding is 60% and post divestment of another 2.10% will be at 55.50%.
  • As far as the core parameters are concerned, SBI Life Insurance is doing very well. They are focusing on the protection part and that is also doing very well.
  • There is no plan as of now to offload anything more than this in SBI Life for the time being.
  • The insurance sector is still under-penetrated and there is a huge opportunity for a group like SBI to offer the insurance products for a large population across the length and breadth of the country. So they have a huge opportunity.
  • In the ULIP space, for the last couple of years, they have started building up a sharper focus for the protection products and that is doing very well.
  • For the past many years when the ULIP was getting sold since they had a larger component of ULIP on the debt side, they did not have any challenges on the debt side of the ULIP.

Consensus Estimate: (Source: market screener and investing.com websites)

  • The closing price of SBI Ltd was ₹ 174/- as of 15-June-2020.  It traded at 0.7x/ 0.6x the consensus book value of ₹ 255 /280 for FY21E/22E respectively.
  • The consensus price target of SBI Ltd is ₹ 272/- which trades at 1.0x the FY22E book value of ₹ 280/-

Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

 

To some extend pain is addressed by RBI- Mr Dinesh Khara, SBI

Update on the Indian Equity Market:

On Wednesday Nifty closed -4.0% lower at 8,253. Among the sectoral indices NIFTY IT (-5.5%), NIFTY Bank (-4.9%), NIFTY PVT Bank (-4.9%) closed lower. None of the sectors closed on a positive note. Tech Mahindra (-9.4%), Kotak Bank (-8.7%), and AXIS Bank (-6.2%) led the losing stocks. Hero Motocorp (+2.5%), Bajaj Auto (+1.0%), Bajaj Finance (+0.5%) were among the top gainers.

Excerpts from an interview of Mr Dinesh Khara, MD- Global Banking and subsidiaries of State Bank Of India with CNBC-TV18 dated 31st March 2020:

  • Speaking on recent measures by RBI Mr Khara said the steps taken by RBI have mitigated the stress which the bank would have seen on account of the 21-days lockdown which has been announced.
  • However, the only thing could be the special mention accounts – SMA-I and SMA-II, which normally has a tendency of seeing the recovery towards the latter half of the month. So there, the bank might face some kind of a situation but that also is being resorted through follow up mechanism.
  • He added the pain has been addressed to an extent of about 90 %.
  • Speaking about the moratorium, he said everybody is entitled to the moratorium unless they opt-out.
  • For the next quarter, on the margin front, the bank has not looked at this point as the issue is evolving.
  • On asset quality, Mr Khara said the bank is in the process of evaluating the impact and it would be too early to say anything.
  • On SMEs, SBI announced an emergency package for SMEs, which is 10 per cent of the working capital for all the accounts which are performing. This package was announced even before the steps taken by RBI.
  • Speaking about loan growth he said after the lockdown is taken off, there would be pent-up demand and to meet that demand, the corporates might go for shoring up their working capital too. Apart from that, there is bound to be some kind of reconstruction effort post COVID-19 and the bank is confident that will also bring in opportunities for credit growth.

Consensus Estimate: (Source: market screener and Investing.com websites)

  • The closing price of SBI was ₹ 187/- as of 01-April-2020.  It traded at 0.7x/ 0.6x/ 0.5x the consensus Book value per share estimate of ₹ 249/277/312 for FY20E/ FY21E/ FY22E respectively.
  • The consensus average target price for SBI is ₹ 384/- which implies a PB multiple of 1.2x on FY22E BVPS of ₹312/-.

SBI Cards IPO to hit the market this quarter: SBI Chairman

Update on the Indian Equity Market:

On Tuesday, NIFTY ended positive at 11,979 (+2.3%). The top gainers in NIFTY were TITAN (+7.3%), Infratel (+5.7%) and IOC (+5.6%). ZEE (-5.3%), Bajaj Auto (-3.8%) and Yes Bank (-2.8%) were the top NIFTY losers. All the sectors were in the green. The top sectoral gainers were Metal (+3.3%), Financial Service (+2.9%) and Realty (+2.8%).

Excerpts from an interview with Mr Rajnish Kumar, Chairman, State Bank of India (SBI) that was published in Economic Times on 03rd February 2020:

  • SBI believed that no one needed an insurance cover as far as deposits in SBI are concerned. But as far as the system is concerned, after the problems with the cooperative bank which happened in Mumbai, there was a demand that the limit for insurance cover which was set some 27 years ago needs to be revised. This move was much needed and will create more confidence in the minds of the people about banks.
  • AGR Telecom problems: According to him, the matter is sub judice and will be waiting for the Supreme Court decision. The hearing is on 4th February. He thinks and believes that the matter will ultimately be sorted out to the satisfaction of both the parties – the government and the telecom operators. He had a general discussion with a lot of people in the telecom sector where they hinted that they will have at least three to four large telecom operators and the country cannot be served with a lesser number of telecom operators. This has given Mr Kumar  confidence and hope that this matter will get sorted out.
  • Barring one HFC account, things are looking up at least on the corporate recovery front.  This HFC account was in trouble, and SBI was readying for it since September and had started providing for it. Mr Kumar had said in the past that from the recovery and resolution perspective, December and March quarters are likely to be very good for the banking system. SBI is expecting some good resolution and implementation of resolution plans in respect of a couple of large accounts.
  • The loan growth for SBI was around 7% in this quarter coming from their international banking book. There is more demand for foreign currency borrowings from Indian corporates. The retail story is intact and SBI is growing very well. The only thing is the corporate sector demand revival. The loan pipeline is fairly good. As these loans get disbursed, FY21E growth numbers may turn out to be better than FY20. The utilization of limits definitely improved in the last two months and SBI may end up somewhere around 9% YoY growth.
  • The loan processing fee has improved significantly on a QoQ basis for SBI. It indicates that during the December quarter, SBI has processed more proposals. The loan pipeline is of more than Rs 1 lakh crore and all of these loans will get disbursed eventually over the next six months and that is a good indicator from a recovery point of view.
  • SBI Card valuation: According to him, the penetration of credit cards in India is very low and as the economy develops, there will be demand for credit and credit cards. At the same time, SBI card business is growing decently. SBI IPO is expected to happen in this quarter.
  • He said that the move by the government to divest stake in IDBI Bank and list LIC are two measures that stand out in this year’s budget.

Consensus Estimate: (Source: market screener website)

The closing price of SBI was ₹ 306/- as on 4-February 2020. It traded at 1.2x/ 1.1x/ 1.0x the consensus book value of ₹ 249/ 280/ 317 for FY20E/ FY21E/ FY22E respectively.