Author - Richa Varu Rathod

Corporate credit, investments have picked up pace, says Bank of Baroda (BoB) Executive Director Murali Ramaswani

Update on the Indian Equity Market:
On Thursday, Sensex gained 115 pts and Nifty topped 12,250. The National Company Law Appellate Tribunal (NCLAT) on Wednesday reinstated Cyrus Mistry as chairman of Tata Sons, holding his removal in October 2016 as “illegal” and it is also aid that Tata Sons’ move to turn into a private company from a public limited was unlawful and ordered its reversal. 

Among the sectors, NIFTY AUTO was up by 1% and NIFTY IT by 0.6%. Among stocks, Yes BankTCS and Bharti Airtel shares were among the biggest gainers, gaining up to 7%.

Corporate credit, investments have picked up pace, says Bank of Baroda (BoB) Executive Director Murali Ramaswani

Key takeaways from the interview of Mr Murali Ramaswami, Executive Director, Bank of Baroda; dated 17th December 2019:

  • When asked about exposure to Essar Steel, Mr Ramaswami said that they had exposure to Essar Steel but did not make any money because it was cash outright sale.
  • When asked about recovery Mr Ramaswami commented that recovery has been good. As of now, BoB has got about Rs 95,000 mn through National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT). Some have been approved, and some are under approval. Mr Ramaswami is expecting ~Rs 94,500 mn resolutions to happen in next 60 days.
  • Mr Ramaswami stated that Slippages have come down. Normally slippages used to be ~Rs 60,000 mn but in 3QFY20E only Rs 40,000-45,000 mn is expected.
  • The NPA scenario is improving as a lot of NCLT cases are getting resolved. As of Sept-19, Gross NPA (non-performing asset) ratio is at 10.25 and net NPA at 3.91. Mr Ramaswami expects GNPA to reach below 10 by Mar-20
  • Mr Ramaswami commented on loan growth and mentioned that retail segment grew by 7-8% year to date, auto loan is growing at 22-23%, the home loan is growing at around 5-6% and education loan around 11% and other loans around 11-12%. MSME segment has witnessed marginal growth, agriculture grew by 2%.
  • He further stated that corporate credit has picked up as far as Bank of Baroda is concerned. BoB has sanctioned about Rs 320 bn in the last one month out of which Rs 90 bn is already disbursed. In the next 15-20 days, another Rs 200 bn disbursement is expected.
  • When asked about loan growth Mr Ramaswami stated that he expects loan growth to be ~5-6% in December-19 and if the same momentum continues ~11% growth in March-19.
  • He mentioned that the Net Interest Margin (NIM) is at 2.7% domestic and 2.9% Gross. He expects NIM to be above 3% in 3QFY20E as saving bank account grew by 9-10% and bulk deposits are strong. Cost of deposits has come down from 5.14% to 4.46%. 

Consensus Estimate (Source: market screener website)

  • The closing price of Bank of Baroda was ₹ 99/- as of 19-December-19. The consensus estimate for Book Value of Bank of Baroda is not available. 

Yes Bank’s priority is to create a greater degree of comfort for depositors, clients, regulators

Update on the Indian Equity Market:

On Wednesday, Sensex gained 175 pts and Nifty ended at 12,043. The market was volatile due to mixed global and domestic cues. There was positive news flow on the trade tariff front from the US.

Among the sectors, except Infrastructure and Reality, all other sectors closed in the green. Among stocks, Tata Motors closed with gains of 7%, followed by metals stocks such as Tata Steel, and Hindalco which closed with gains of over 2 % each.

Yes Bank’s priority is to create a greater degree of comfort for depositors, clients, regulators

 Key takeaways from the interview of Mr Ravneet Gill, Chief Executive Officer, Yes Bank; dated 3rd December 2019:

·        When asked about raising the target of capital raising from USD $1.2 bn to 2 bn Mr Gill said that the opportunities for private sector Banks have become much broader and would like to monetize this big opportunity that lies ahead of them. He also stated that it was important for them to convey the message to the stakeholders that Bank is on a stronger and more stable footing.

·        According to Mr Gill, more capital is better than less, and quicker than later. The first priority for the bank should be to be able to create a very high degree of comfort, whether it is depositors, clients or regulators.

·        When asked about the valuation, he shared that the fundamental reason why Yes Bank is trading below book value is that there is a belief that the bank is not fully capitalized. He thinks the fundamental fix to this problem is capital.

·        According to him, once the capital comes in the bank, we will be able to see  that the bank will start to trade at a better multiple.

·        When asked about expecting any dispensation from SEBI on pricing formula, he replied that he won’t be asking for it as he doesn’t think there is a need to do so. The investors who have come in understand that they will need to come in at whatever is the pricing formula and the guidelines around pricing and he thinks they are happy to go with it.

·        He said that the final allotment will be done in the board meeting to be held on 10Th December 2019.

·        He mentioned that they are in discussions with the investors about creating a framework, creating a roadmap, which will facilitate the application to the RBI and for the RBI to take a view. He also clarified that he would not like to prejudge RBI’s views and they haven’t had a conversation with RBI yet.

Consensus Estimate (Source: market screener website)

  • The closing price of Yes Bank was ₹ 63/- as of 04-December-19. The Consensus estimate for Book Value of Yes Bank is not available. 

Entering Mutual Fund Space to Cater to Customers’ ‘Changing Needs’ – Muthoot Finance CFO

Update on the Indian Equity Market:

On Monday, Sensex ended higher across-the-board buying and US-China trade talks optimism, Sensex gained 530 pts and Nifty ended at 12,079. News reports that China and the United States were ‘very close’ to a phase one trade deal, boosted investor sentiment further.

Among the sectors, all but media stocks ended in the green. Metal stocks rallied the most on renewed hopes of positive developments in US-China trade talks. The Nifty Metal index climbed over 3 per cent to 2,599 levels. Auto and Pharma stocks were next on the list. On the downside, Nifty Media index slipped over 1.5 per cent to 1,946 levels.

Among stocks, Bharti Airtel (up 7 per cent) emerged as the top gainer on the index while ONGC (down over 2 per cent) was the biggest loser. 

Entering Mutual Fund Space to Cater to Customers’ ‘Changing Needs’ –  Muthoot Finance CFO 
Key takeaways from the interview of Mr Oommen K Mammen, Chief Financial Officer, Muthoot Finance; dated 25th November 2019:

  • When asked about entering into the Mutual Fund space Mr Mammen said that Muthoot Finance Ltd.’s foray into mutual funds by acquiring IDBI Asset Management Ltd. will help cater to the changing needs of its two lakh customers.
  • Mammen told in an interview that if they don’t provide alternative investment products, customers might look into other opportunities.
  • He  stated that offering mutual fund options will help take care of their customer’s changing needs.
  • According to Mr Mammen, Mutual funds are the best asset class.
  • The acquisition worth Rs 2,150 mn is subject to regulatory approval and is expected to be completed by February next year.
  • Muthoot Finance will purchase 100 per cent equity shares of IDBI AMC and IDBI MF Trustee Company for a total consideration of Rs 215 crore, according to exchange data. IDBI Mutual Fund has an asset base of over Rs 5,300 crore. Muthoot Finance will acquire 66.67 per cent stake in IDBI AMC from IDBI Bank and 33.3 per cent from IDBI Capital Market & IDBI Securities.

Consensus Estimate (Source: market screener website)

  • The closing price of Muthoot Finance was ₹ 685/- as of 25-November-19 and traded at 10.5x /9.6x /8.2x the consensus EPS for FY20E / 21E / 22E of Rs 65/71/84 respectively.
  • Consensus target price of ₹ 765/- implies a PE multiple of 9x on FY22E EPS ₹ 84/-.

UPL eyes ₹5600 mn of synergies from Arysta deal

Update on the Indian Equity Market:On Thursday, Sensex ended higher led by gains in financial services and IT sectors, Sensex gained 170 pts and Nifty ended at 11,872. Retail inflation jumped to 4.62% in October from 3.99% in September. Vodafone Idea fell 20.27% after the department of telecommunications (DoT) asked operators to conduct a self-assessment of pending dues after last month’s Supreme Court verdict that upheld the government’s definition of adjusted gross revenue.
Among sectoral Indices, BSE IT was the biggest gainer with a rise of 1.1% followed by BSE Consumer Durables 0.9% and BSE Finance 0.8%.  BSE Telecom lost the most at 2.8%, BSE Metal was down 2.0% and BSE Capital Goods slipped 0.8%.
Among stocks, ICICI Bank Ltd, Bajaj Finance Ltd, HDFC twins—HDFC Bank Ltd and HDFC Ltd, Axis Bank Ltd, and Yes Bank were the biggest gainers in the financial services sector. In the tech sector, Infosys Ltd, Tata Consultancy Services Ltd, and Tech Mahindra Ltd gained the most.

UPL eyes ₹5600 mn of synergies from Arysta deal
Key takeaways from the interview of Mr Anand Vora, Chief Financial Officer, UPL; dated 11th November 2019:

  • When asked about the Arysta acquisition and synergies, Mr Vora mentioned that UPL has already achieved Rs 3200 mn of synergies and targets ~ Rs 5600 mn of total synergies benefit to reflect in Profit and Loss Account for FY20.
  • Mr Vora said that the EBITDA margins will improve to about 16-20% due to the merger.
  • He commented on the tough external environment factors like the trade war and swine flu, not letting UPL take any price increase to push the volumes.
  • Mr Vora added that the debt increase is due to the seasonality of the business and high working capital which will decrease significantly after December as cash inflows start against the receivables and this has been the trend for the last three years.
  • He stated that the receivables have decreased as compared to last year and UPL is working in that direction. On average the net working capital of Arysta is higher than UPL but they are working on it and expect the working capital to trend closer to that of UPL.  
  • When asked about the pressure on demand globally, he commented that they are in crop protection chemical business and farmers rarely keep their land vacant. In fact, once they have invested in seeds and spent on fertilizers, they are left with no choice but to use the crop protection chemical to protect their crops.

Consensus Estimate (Source: market screener website)

  • The closing price of UPL was ₹ 535/- as of 14-November-19 and traded at 17.5x /11.5x /9.8x the consensus EPS for FY20E / 21E / 22E of Rs 31/47/55 respectively.
  • Consensus target price of ₹ 704/- implies a PE multiple of 12.8x on FY22E EPS ₹ 55/-.

Growth at Bajaj Auto has outperformed industry

Update on the Indian Equity Market:

On Monday, Sensex ended at record closing high of 40,302, up 137 pts; Nifty ended at 11,943; IT index was the biggest sectoral gainer, while auto stocks bled the most. Infosys share price closed 3% higher at Rs 709 after the firm said it has not received any prima facie evidence so far to corroborate any of the allegations made by the anonymous whistle-blower. Infosys, VEDL, Tata Steel, HDFC, ONGC were among the biggest gainers, jumping up to 3%. On the other hand, Maruti Suzuki, Hero MotoCorp, IndusInd Bank, Tata Motors were among the biggest losers, shedding up to 2.5%. Among sectoral indices, NIFTY IT (+0.8%) NIFTY Metal (+2.8%) closed higher while NIFTY Auto (-1.4%), NIFTY media (-3.3%) ended on a negative note.

Growth at Bajaj Auto has outperformed industry

Key takeaways from the interview of Mr Rakesh Sharma, Executive Director, Bajaj Auto; dated 4th November 2019:

  • Mr Sharma stated that the company reported the highest ever retails of all business in its history by a wide margin. The motorcycle business turned in a retail sales performance of 400,000 units plus, which is ~50% growth YoY. It grew by 28% over the festive period of last year. Small commercial vehicle (CV) business reported retail sales of 43,000 plus and KTM business doubled reporting the highest ever retail performance. So, it was a wonderful month for Bajaj Auto and the company is happy that almost half of the growth in domestic motorcycle by newly launched products (in the last six months) which have done exceedingly well and brought down the inventory levels.
  • Mr Sharma said that they had proactive engagements with the channel where it was informed that come October Bajaj Auto will be easing the burden.
  • Mr Sharma added that he has not seen such low channel inventory in the last 18 months and suspects that the company should have moved the market share needle as well.
  • When asked about the future performance he said that the economy is entering a naturally lower part of the quarter now. Post the festive seasons, the sales do drop so there is obviously a combination of postponement that has occurred from July-August and a bit of advancement that would have occurred from November. All of these combine to give the surge during the festive season. So, there is a natural down cycle that we will now hit and added on this will be the uncertainty in the minds of a lot of people about the BSIV-BSVI transition.
  • He refrained from commenting that Bajaj Auto would see similar kind of numbers, but he confirmed that this festival season has served as a very good trigger to bottom out what the Indian industry was experiencing.
  • Mr Sharma said that the company still needs to navigate the turbulent change that is impending, which is BS-IV to BS-VI, and will have to see how the consumer behaviour will occur during this change.
  • Mr Sharma informed that Bajaj Auto has always been outpacing the market by 5-8% points and thinks that Bajaj Auto outpaced the industry growth by at least 15% points on the back of new products. Therefore, he is confident of market share expansion.
  • When asked about the price cuts and margins he commented that the company’s strategy of uplifting the consumer step by step has helped the realisation per vehicle to move upwards. The stocks are now in a very manageable zone.
  • Mr Sharma said that softer raw material costs, steady foreign exchange rate (45% of revenues come from overseas sources), improved portfolio and favourable business mix is contributing to margin expansion but would not like to further comment on margin as they are in an ambiguous situation in November-December-January.

Consensus Estimate (Source: market screener website)

  • The closing price of Bajaj Auto was ₹ 3,212/- as of 04-November-19 and traded at 18.4x /17.2x /16.7x the consensus EPS for FY20E / 21E / 22E of Rs 176/188/194 respectively.
  • Consensus target price of ₹ 3,049/- implies a PE multiple of 15.7x on FY22E EPS ₹ 194/-.

SBI chairman: Economy in the transition phase, growth to come back

Update on the Indian Equity Market:On Thursday, BSE benchmark Sensex ended 38 points lower, while Nifty ended below 11,600. Among the sectors, PSU Banks (-3.5%) dragged the most. Bharti Airtel and Reliance Industries were the top gainers. Infratel and Grasim were among the top losers. Maruti Suzuki on Thursday posted a 39% year-on-year (YoY) fall in September quarter profit, which was better than Street expectations. The market was moved by SC decision relating to telecom industry and the trends of Maharashtra and Haryana assembly poll results.

SBI chairman: Economy in the transition phase, growth to come back

Key takeaways from the interview of Mr Rajnish Kumar, Chairman, SBI Bank; dated 24th October 2019: The Indian economy is in a transition phase largely owing to important reforms undertaken in the last few years. Mr. Kumar is exuding confidence that the country’s growth rate will be back on track.

  • Due to a lot of reforms, the economy is in transition. Reforms like GST (goods and services tax) and IBC (insolvency and bankruptcy code) have been implemented in the last three years because of which India is in a transition period. As a result, a lot of cleanup has happened in the corporate sector. He is of the view that disruption is bound to happen in the transition phase.
  • Mr Kumar said that in terms of development, India is still not in the “developed” category. Besides, the per capita income is still low. There is a huge scope for growth in India, and demographics are also not against India. Unlike many other developed countries where they are facing challenges on account of demographics, India does not have that kind of challenge at least for the time being.
  • According to Mr Kumar, the Indian economy is seeing the bottom as far as economic growth is concerned. He expects the market to go up from now because each sector is now starting to perform well. For example, in agriculture, this year’s position is better even in terms of credit. He also mentioned manufacturing and private sector investment in infrastructure is still slow.
  • Observing that the Modi government over the past few years has brought banking to the doorsteps of every household, Mr Kumar said the activation of these accounts have reached almost 90 per cent. Besides, balances of these accounts are now reaching a level where servicing these accounts is “not a loss-making proposition” for the banks.
  • He stated that the average balance in these accounts is touching ₹1,900 and about ₹230 bn in June was the balance in the savings bank account. This itself benefits the economy as such a large population is brought under the banking channels.
  • Noting that the biggest challenge in the banking sector was about the functioning of the public sector banks, Mr Kumar said that recapitalization has happened in a big way but sectoral issues need to be addressed like the power, road and telecom sectors. As these sectoral issues impact the working of the banks, particularly on the asset quality front.
  • He further said that in this government there is no political interference in the banking sector. State Bank of India has been more immune to any pressures because the systems are such that it is very difficult for any Chairman/MD to influence any decision-making process.
  • When asked about cryptocurrency, which has been banned in India, the SBI chairman said that the way the world is moving towards digitisation, at some stage, a regulated cryptocurrency would be a better bet than an unregulated one. He also cautioned about the dark side of the internet as there can be a misuse of the digital currencies. He further added that regulation is a must adding that efforts are on how to bring technologies like blockchain into functioning of the banks.

Consensus Estimate (Source: market screener website) 

  • The stock price was Rs 262/- as of close price of 24-10-19 and traded at 1.03x /0.92x /0.79x the consensus Book Value for FY20E / 21E / 22E of Rs 254/286/331 respectively.
  • Consensus target price of ₹ 275/- implies a Price to Book Value multiple of 0.83x on FY22E Book Value of ₹ 331/-.

IndusInd Bank says growth will bounce back to mid-20% from 3QFY20

Update on the Indian Equity Market:
On Tuesday, BSE benchmark Sensex gained 291 points, while Nifty ended above 11,400-mark. Nifty Auto was the outperformer, FMCG and private bank stocks were strong while IT stocks dragged. Nifty Bank rose 1.3%, Bandhan Bank jumped 11% while Vedanta, ONGC, Maruti Suzuki were among the biggest Sensex gainers. Railway PSU IRCTC shares closed down 1.6% down at Rs 716.65. Indian Railway Catering and Tourism Corporation (IRCTC) got listed at Rs 644 on Monday on the BSE, more than doubling investor wealth since its IPO.

Key takeaways from the interview of Mr Sobti, MD & CEO, IndusInd Bank; dated 11th October 2019 with CNBC TV18:

  • Loan growth comes in at a multi-year low for IndusInd Bank in 2QFY20 while stressed assets woes added to the bank’s worries. Mr Sobti shared his views and outlook.
  • In terms of the pain in the banking sector, he said that compared to last year, net slippages are lower, gross slippages are the function of some technical issues because there are downgrades and then there are upgrades within a few days. The net figure for gross slippages is Rs 1700 mn. The Bank has had handsome recoveries in the stressed groups which were never non-performing assets (NPAs). The Bank is still hopeful that these stressed accounts will not leave any residual cost which hits the profit and loss (P&L).
  • He clarified that they have been more than transparent on disclosures as far as real estate exposures are concerned, they have remained steady in terms of percentage. Special mention accounts (SMA) data and the SMA-I data has been provided every quarter and the overdue is just Rs 280 mn of the whole lot.
  • In terms of market share, Mr Sobti mentioned that the Bank has gained market share in the vehicle finance area, it has grown 21 percent and in the auto industry, commercial vehicles (CVs) grew around 14 per cent, cars grew 19 per cent, two-wheelers grew 24 per cent. According to him, it’s a very handsome growth in a market which is shrinking.
  • Microfinance grew by 32 per cent; the bank has not lost market share anywhere and has received some repayments towards the end of Sep-19 quarter.
  • Mr Sobti thinks the underlying fundamentals are sound and the bank will bounce back to the mid-20s, if not better, Q3 onwards in terms of growth rate.
  • The total exposure to non-banking financial companies (NBFCs) is around 3.5 per cent.
  • Speaking about IndusInd Bank’s exposure to Indiabulls group, he said that exposure was 0.35% of the bank’s exposure which has come down to 0.27%.
  • Exposure to real estate financers remains steady at 3.8 per cent and has always remained below 4 per cent.
  • On loan growth, he further mentioned that in Q1 the loan growth was 28 per cent. So, for 1HFY20, the bank is in the mid-20s. In 2QFY20, the bank got some nice and strong repayments. For IndusInd Bank to get back to the mid-20s and beyond, might not require doing unusual sort of a stretch. Mr Sobti thinks IndusInd Bank should be ending the full year at least in the 25 per cent range if not better.
  • When asked about the next CEO appointment he mentioned that the next CEO will be appointed sooner than later.

 Consensus Estimate (Source: market screener website)

  • The stock price was ₹ 1,272/- as of close price of 15-10-19 and traded at 15x /12x /9x the consensus EPS for FY20E / 21E / 22E EPS of ₹ 84/108/133 respectively.
  • Consensus target price of ₹ 1,704/- implies a PE multiple of 13x on FY22E EPS of ₹ 133/-.

IndusInd Bank’s Romesh Sobti: We have seen significant recoveries in stressed accounts

Updates on Indian Market:

On Friday, BSE benchmark Sensex plunged over 434 points, while Nifty slipped below 11,200-mark as growth concerns overshadowed rate cut. Earlier in the day, the Reserve Bank of India cut interest rates for a fifth straight time by 25 basis points to 5.15 per cent, stepping up efforts to kick-start economic growth. In its fourth bi-monthly policy meet for FY20, the monetary policy committee cut FY20 GDP growth forecast sharply to 6.1 per cent from 6.9 per cent, taking into account the lower-than-expected growth rate in Q1FY20. Bank majors, including HDFC Bank (-2.8%), ICICI Bank (-3.1%), Kotak Mahindra Bank (-3.3%), State Bank of India (-1.7%) and Axis Bank (-1.8%) together dragged Sensex by over 340 points. All sectoral indices except BSE IT and Teck closed lower.

IndusInd Bank’s Romesh Sobti: We have seen significant recoveries in stressed accounts

 Excerpts from an interview with Romesh Sobti – Managing Director & CEO, IndusInd Bank

·       Mr Sobti mentioned that because of the heightened speculation and conjecture on a particular account – a housing finance company, the bank was obliged to inform the stock exchanges what was the actual exposure to the entity.

·       He added that one of their big initiatives was the provision coverage ratio (PCR) which had fallen after one large infrastructure relationship they classified as NPA (non-performing asset. INDUSINDBK made large provisions for it and the same was communicated to the market as well. Their aim is to take that PCR back to at least the 60s and there is a good beneficial impact that it has come as a consequence of the tax savings. A large part of tax savings will help them to raise the PCR and is expected to reflect from Sep-19 quarter itself.

·       He clarified that exposures in various sectors have remained constant. There has not been a residual loss because of so-called stressed account. In fact, there have been very significant recoveries in the stressed accounts. They were not stressed in their books as they are not overdue.

·       Mr Sobti said even though there has been some conjecture and speculation on the higher-margin businesses like a commercial vehicle or microfinance institutions (MFIs) these portfolios are performing very robustly and well up to their credit standards seeing no adverse trends.

·       He mentioned that the deposit growth has been strong in the last few quarters and has remained robust in this quarter because of the huge drive to raise retail fixed deposits.

·       Mr Sobti expects deposit growth to show the same trend as seen in the past since INDUSINDBK is getting Rs 50-60 bn of retail deposits every quarter.

 Consensus Estimate (Source: market screener website)

 ·       The stock price was Rs 1282/- as of close price of 04-10-19 and traded at 14x /11x /9x the consensus EPS for FY20E / 21E / 22E EPS of Rs 88/112/133 respectively. Consensus target price of ₹ 1807/- implies a PE multiple of 16x on FY21 EPS of ₹112/-

India should aim to become largest FDI recipient: Ravi Shankar Prasad

Update on the Indian Market:

On Wednesday, Indian stock markets fell sharply. Sensex declined over 500 points (-1.29%) while NIFTY fell nearly 150 points (1.28%) and breached the 11,450 mark. Nifty Midcap and Smallcap indices plunged 2 % each. All sectoral indices, except IT, traded in the red on NSE, led by Nifty Auto (-3.84%) and Nifty Realty (-3.1 per cent). Biggest Nifty losers were SBI and Tata Motors, each of which was down over 6%. Other major losers included Maruti Suzuki, M&M, HDFC and Tata Steel.

India should aim to become largest FDI recipient: Ravi Shankar Prasad

Key takeaways from the interview of Mr Ravi Shankar Prasad, Communications and IT minister

  • Communications and IT minister Ravi Shankar Prasad expressed that India should aim to become the largest foreign direct investment (FDI) recipient globally as the country offers a huge market and investor-friendly policies.
  • With the recent announcements on tax-relief for manufacturing, India is now at par with the tax regime of countries like Vietnam and Thailand.
  • He also mentioned that country offers a huge market for companies like Apple and others to make for India and export while adding that the far-reaching decisions taken by Government of India has also been heard by Apple. Apple has started production in India in a very effective way.
  • He assured that he will make his team open and accessible for foreign investors as we need investments.
  • The minister said India has become the 5th largest economy globally and FDI has seen a jump over the last few years and grossed USD 64 bn in FY19.
  • Telecom sector attracted FDI worth USD 2.67 bn, and in electronics, computer software and hardware, the amount stood at USD 6.4 bn.
  • He further said India has been leveraging technology not just for benefits to economy and commerce but also digital empowerment.

Varun Beverages raise Rs 9,000 mn via Qualified Institutional Placement (QIP)/Tech M expanding its collaboration with telecommunication giant AT&T

Update on Indian market: On Monday, Nifty ended above 11,000 mark led by a rally in the heavyweight financial stocks. Yes Bank, Maruti Suzuki, L&T were among the biggest gainers in Sensex, surging up to 4.2%. HCL Tech, Infosys, Tech Mahindra emerged among the biggest losers, shedding up to 1.5%

Varun Beverages raise Rs 9,000 mn via Qualified Institutional Placement (QIP)

VBL completed its QIP of Rs 9,000 mn on 4th Sept 2019. VBL approved the allotment of 1,47,05,882 equity shares of Face Value Rs 10/- each to the eligible qualified institutional buyers at issue price of Rs 612 per equity share aggregating to ~ Rs 9,000 mn pursuant to the Issue. Total Borrowings as on Jun-19 was Rs 32,533 mn and after this issuance, the debt will reduce to Rs 23,533 mn. VBL plans to use the QIP proceeds to repay the debts, this will reduce the interest cost and may help PAT margins to expand.

Tech M expanding its collaboration with telecommunication giant AT&T

Tech Mahindra Ltd., a leadingprovider of digital transformation, consulting and business reengineering services and solutions, announced expansion of its strategic collaboration with AT&T to accelerate AT&T’s IT network application, shared systems modernization and movement to the cloud. Tech Mahindra will assume management of many of the applications which support AT&T’s network and shared systems.

Tech M’s deal with AT&T is a multi-year agreement which will enable AT&T to focus on core objectives, including having the most advanced software-defined 5G network, and migrate the majority of its non-network workloads to the public cloud by 2024. This comprehensive program will help drive sustainable operational improvement across the network and software development domains.

When asked about the deal Mr. Jon Summers, CIO of AT&T Communications stated that their agreement with Tech Mahindra is another step forward in delivering greater flexibility across their IT operations. This includes optimizing core operations and modernizing internal network applications to accelerate innovation as AT&T march forward to their goal of a nationwide 5G network by the first half of 2020. He also mentioned that this collaboration with Tech Mahindra will ultimately help accelerate its network operations and overall technology leadership.

MD & CEO of Tech M, Mr. C P Gurnani mentioned that this deal is a step towards elevating Tech Mahindra’s long-standing strategic relationship with AT&T to help make the vision of a 5G-enabled future, a reality. As part of TechMNxt charter, Tech Mahindra is betting big on 5G — the network of the future and is focused on technology-led innovation to enable digital transformation for their customers globally.

According to the management, Tech M and AT&T aim to improve the agility in rolling out and supporting networks of the future, while improving returns on investment through technology-led transformation AT&T and Tech Mahindra will integrate several world-class technologies and platforms in areas like artificial intelligence, DevOps, data analytics and 5G.

Consensus Estimate (Source: marketscreener website)

The closing price of VBL was Rs 623/- as of 09-September-19. It traded at 43x/33x/25x the consensus EPS for CY 19E/CY 20E /CY 21E EPS of Rs 14.7/19.0/25.7 respectively· Consensus target price of Rs 720/- implies a PE of 28x on CY21E EPS of Rs 25.7 

The closing price of Tech M was Rs 720/- as of 09-September-19. It traded 15.2x/13.6x/12.3x the consensus EPS for FY20E/FY21E/FY22E EPS of Rs 47.5/53.1/58.7 respectively. Consensus target price of Rs 754/- implies a PE of 14.1x on FY21E EPS of Rs 53.1