HCL Technologies

Confident of double-digit growth in FY22 – HCL Tech

Update on the Indian Equity Market:

On Thursday, NIFTY ended higher at 15,824 (+1.2%) as it closed near the intraday high level of 15,835. METAL (+3.0%), IT (+1.8%), and REALTY (+1.75%) led the sectoral gainers and there were no sectoral losers. Among the stocks, JSWSTEEL (+5.9%), TECHM (+5.4%), and BAJFINANCE (+4.2%) led the gainers while HINDUNILVR (-2.3%), ASIANPAINT (-1.8%), and BAJAJ-AUTO (-1.2%) led the losers.

Excerpts of an interview with Mr. C Vijayakumar, CEO & MD, and Mr. Prateek Aggarwal, CFO of HCL Technologies (HCLTECH) published with CNBC TV18 on 20th July 2021:

  • The company has seen a second consecutive quarter of revenue miss due to execution capabilities getting hit by the second Covid wave, and the company has a lot of concentration in NCR. As the revenue will recover in Q2FY22, the company is confident of the full year’s double-digit growth performance.
  • Speaking on segments, the products and platform segment has been disappointing for the last two quarters. The company expects a low single-digit growth for this segment, as around 25% of the products are either declining in nature or are being discontinued. IT services had a muted quarter, due to some executions and transitions in Europe that are taking longer than expected.
  • The company is expanding in new markets (geographically) categorized as Focus countries and New Frontier countries. The company has a reasonable presence in the countries under the Focus category and the growth rate will be higher than the company growth rate. New frontier countries are mid to long-term bets. These markets have to be built and are expected to give good outcomes in a couple of years.
  • The deals that the company has won are organic in nature, and a lot of them require to be built by hiring more talent, and onboarding them. The hiring of freshers could be more than the current guidance of 20,000-22,000. Speaking on salary hikes, the salaries are currently the same at entry-level, but the company expects to see a salary hike percentage in the next couple of years to be more than the rest of the company.
  • The company has accomplished a very good quality order book in the last 2 quarters, a lot of it being good long-term programs having annuity revenues, and are good capacity programs for digital transformation.

Asset Multiplier Comments

  • As the country recovers from execution capability-related issues caused by the second covid wave, the revenues can be expected to recover in FY22.
  • A strong order book that contributes to annuity revenues will position the company better in the mid to long term.

Consensus Estimate: (Source: market screener website)

  • The closing price of HCLTECH was ₹ 979/- as of 22-July-2021. It traded at 20x/17x/16x the consensus earnings estimate of ₹ 50/57/62 for FY22E/FY23E/FY24E respectively.
  • The consensus target price of ₹ 975/- implies a PE multiple of 16x on FY24E EPS of ₹ 62/-.

Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

Expanding hiring of freshers based on demand – HCL Tech

Update on Indian Equity Markets:

Markets continued their upward momentum on Tuesday as Nifty closed the day 174 points higher at 14,659. Within the index, HINDALCO (5.1%), TATASTEEL (3.9%) and DIVISLAB (3.5%) were the highest gainers while HDFCLIFE (-3.6%), SBILIFE (-1.4%) and MARUTI (-0.9%) were few of the losers. All the sectoral indices closed in green with METAL (2.8%), PSUBANK (2.5%) and MEDIA (1.8%) leading the pack. 

Excerpts of an interview with Mr C Vijaykumar, CEO and Prateek Aggarwal, CFO, HCL Technologies Ltd (HCLTECH) with CNBC -TV18 dated 26th April 2021:

  • During the Mar-21 quarter, bookings stood at $3.1bn, led by 19 large deal wins. These deals are spread across geographies and industries. Most deals are spread across 3-5 years, of which four are integrated across service lines.
  • The Company has prepared a list of seven countries i.e. Germany, Canada, Japan, Spain, Portugal, Mexico and Brazil. These are countries witnessing a large and growing IT market where the Company is currently not present. Setting up offices in new countries is a one-time exercise.
  • The Company is also expanding hiring in the freshers space, considering the demand for the next few years. The hiring also involves certain cost elements.
  • The Company has launched HCL Now, which is the Cloud version of its acquired products. This is strengthening partnerships of HCLTECH with hyperscalers.
  • The Company is expected to deliver double-digit growth in constant currency. The management highlighted that they have provided floor price on revenue growth for next year. 
  • The products and platforms business had an impairment charge of $16mn, leading to a 60 bps impact on margins.   

Asset Multiplier Comments:

  • Backed by deal wins in both small and big pockets and continued momentum in cloud and data, the company looks set to achieve its target of double-digit growth over FY22E.
  • Setting up offices in new countries to expand the geographical presence is expected to create a revenue stream and diversify the revenue base for the Company in the long run.

Consensus Estimates (Source: market screener website):

  • The closing price of HCLTECH was ₹ 928/- as of 27-April-2021.  It traded at 18x/ 16x the consensus EPS estimate of ₹ 51.0/ 57.4 for 22E/23E respectively.
  • The consensus price target is ₹ 1,119/- which trades at 19x the EPS estimate for FY23E of ₹ 57.4/-

Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

Confident of leading industry performance for next 2-3 years – HCL Tech

Update on Indian Equity Market:

Markets started the fresh week on a selling spree as Nifty closed the day 205 points lower at 14,228. The intensity of selling was such that only six out of 50 stocks closed the day in green led by UPL (6.3%), RELIANCE (2.1%), and TITAN (1.3%) while TATAMOTORS (-6.1%), TATASTEEL (-5.9%), and ONGC (-5.1%) led the losing pack. All the sectoral indices closed the day in red with METAL (-4.6%), PSU BANK (-3.1%), and PHARMA (-3.1%) bleeding the most.

Excerpts of an interview with Mr C. Vijayakumar, President & CEO- HCL Technologies Ltd (HCL Tech) with CNBC TV18 dated 15th January 2021:

  • The company reported revenue growth of 3.5%, higher than the guidance. The margin for the quarter was also at a six-year high. Mr Vijayakumar said that the company has outperformed guidance for two quarters in a row led by a stupendous performance from products and platforms segment.
  • He said that DWS acquisition would contribute to 1% growth in 4QFY21E. The company has signed 13 deals across verticals. The company is positive about the outlook for FY22E.
  • The next five years are expected to be better than the past five years. The company is expected to lead the industry performance for the next 2-3 years. 
  • More work and revenue shifting of offshore and sales, general, and administrative (SGA) leverage contributed to superior margin performance in 1HFY21. Some of the expenses are expected to come back, but not at pre-COVID levels.
  • The company gave the salary increments to a large section of employees during 3QFY21. This has led to a headwind of 50 bps in margins. Further, the company is expected to give increments to seniors and a larger population which would be eroding about 80 bps from the margins.

Consensus Estimate: (Source: market screener)
• The closing price of HCL Tech was ₹ 978/- as of 18-January-2021. It traded at 20x/ 19x/ 17x the consensus earnings estimate of ₹ 49.3/ 52.0/ 58.0 for FY21E/FY22E/23E respectively.
• The Consensus price target of HCL Tech was ₹ 1,073/- as of 18th January 2021 which is 19x of FY23E EPS estimate of ₹58.0/-.

Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

 

HCL Tech to roll out salary hikes for all employees in phases

Update on the Indian Equity Market:
On Monday, NIFTY closed flat at 11,873 (+0.9%). Top gainers in NIFTY50 were ICICI bank (+5.1%), Nestle (+4.5%), and GAIL (+4.2%). The top losers were Divi’s Lab (-3.6%), Eicher Motor (-3.1%), and Hero Motocorp (-2.9%). Top sectoral gainers were PSU BANK (+4.2%), BANK (+3.1%), and PVT BANK (+3.2%) and the sectoral losers were PHARMA (-1.7%), MEDIA (-1.6%), and AUTO (-1.1%).

Excerpts of an interview with Mr. C VIjaykumar, CEO and Mr. Prateek Aggarwal, CFO, HCL Technologies (HCLT) with ET Now dated 16th October 2020:

• They signed 15 transformational deals. The momentum in the market for modernisation and digital transformation services has been great.
• The life sciences and healthcare and retail CPG verticals grew 8% plus sequentially which is a very impressive performance. All verticals, all geographies, all service lines, and all modes had a sequential growth. So it is a very good all-round performance.
• Some amount of recovery is due to the dip that they had in the first quarter but a lot of transition of deals that were done in the previous quarter got done extremely well which helped in ramping up revenues.
• A lot of existing customers continue to demonstrate their faith by giving them more projects and some incremental work which all got built. The digital foundation, which is their erstwhile infrastructure services, is very strong.
• In the second half also they have projected an overall margin growth. They have upgraded the guidance. Now 20%-21% is the full-year EBIT guidance. So in the second half, they will continue to see a good margin performance.
• The salary increases that they are giving will create a certain impact as they get into the second half of the year. That is why overall margins in H1 were ~21% but for the full year, they are guiding it to be 20% to 21%.
• Mode 1 has got a lot of digital foundation services that has also grown impressively. Mode 2, of course, has grown almost 7% sequentially and almost 15% plus from a year-on-year perspective.
• This is all the new technologies including cloud solutions, application modernisation, analytics, internet of things and cybersecurity. This is good for the margin profile apart from the cost controls that are automatically in place. Due to some of the higher value services increasing as a ratio is also good from a margin perspective.
• The Board has decided to double the dividend that they have been paying on a per quarter basis. So far they were paying Rs 2 per share per quarter and now in this quarter, the board has doubled the Rs 2 per share per quarter to now Rs 4 per share per quarter.
• The important thing is this is not a one-time kind of a thing. It is something that they intend to continue for the quarters going forward and that is the important thing.
• The overall pipeline is at an all-time high. Their pipeline has increased by almost 35% compared to what it was. Their booking increased by 35% compared to what it was in the last quarter. The pipeline has increased by almost 20% and it is at an all-time high.
• However, conversion of these deals and that converting into revenue is normally a 3-6-months cycle. They have done good bookings in the last two quarters.

Consensus Estimate: (Source: market screener and investing.com websites)

The closing price of HCLT was ₹ 846/- as of 19th October 2020. It traded at 19x/ 17x/ 15x the consensus earnings estimate of ₹ 45.3/ 50.3/ 55.7 for FY21E/22E/23E respectively.
The consensus price target of HCLT is ₹ 937/- which trades at 17x the earnings estimate for FY23E of ₹ 55.7/-.
Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

Covid-19 will push a lot more customers to look at outsourcing: C Vijayakumar, HCL Technologies Chief Executive Officer (CEO)

Update on the Indian Equity Market:

On Friday, NIFTY ended up 53 pts (+0.57%) at 9251 level.

Among the sectoral indices, PHARMA (2.13%), FMCG (1.9%) and IT (0.83%) were among the top gainers while PSU BANK (-1.9%), AUTO (-1.29%) and PVT BANK (-0.7%) were the losers. HINDUNILVR (4.3%), SUNPHARMA (+3.9%) and DRREDDY (+3.7%) were the top gainers. NTPC (-3.7%), M&M (-3.7%) and AXISBANK (-3.6%) were the top losers.

 

Covid-19 will push a lot more customers to look at outsourcing: C Vijayakumar, HCL Technologies Chief Executive Officer (CEO)

 

Edited excerpts of an interview with Mr C Vijayakumar, Chief Executive Officer (CEO) of HCL Technologies:

 

  • Digital transformations at global companies, expected over the next two to three years, will now hasten in crisis-mode due to the Covid-19 pandemic. Mr Vijayakumar said sectors or companies that were not looking at outsourcing will do so now to save costs.

 

  • When asked between the United States and Europe, where does he expect growth to pick up, he said that the US and Europe are not going to be very different, because in Europe, some geographies are already opening up. Around 23 states in the US have also already relaxed some guidelines and there is some hope that things will stabilize quickly, but customer behavior may not change immediately.
  • His views on traditional and digital services in coming fiscal years: Traditional services also have some very strong propositions, like digital workplace, engineering services. Some of the demand is intact and it is only getting accelerated. So, barring the short-term challenge, HCL Technologies will have good growth momentum. Mr. Vijaykumar thinks there could be a hit in the first quarter for sure. Industrial, auto, and aero have been impacted significantly, and non-grocery retail is also quite seriously impacted. But, almost 12% of revenue comes from Life Sciences and close to 20% of revenue comes from tech services. Both are strong verticals.
  • When asked about the kind of projects and wins expected after the recovery, he replied that Digital spends will (only) accelerate. Whatever transformation was expected to happen over the next two to three years, it’s almost going to get done in crisis mode, because for all the businesses, digital is the most viable channel to engage. He sees acceleration in cloud adoption, digital transformation, spend on digital workplace and cybersecurity. He believes the hospitals of the future will only have operation theatres and ICUs, everything else will be done through telemedicine.
  • He further informed that since work from home has been implemented, the productivity is much higher. They have tools to track productivity of every individual. Currently, there is a lockdown so obviously everybody is glued on to work, but how a large-scale work from home stacks up in a non-lockdown scenario needs to be seen in future.
  • He stated that HCL Technologies is very open to look into the opportunities to acquire companies, products, platforms or capabilities if there are attractive assets available. They have not only been acquisitive, but have made the acquisitions work.

 

Consensus Estimate: (Source: market screener)

  • The closing price of HCL Technologies was ₹ 519/- as of 8May-20. It traded at 13x/ 11.5x the consensus EPS estimate of ₹ 40.2/45.1 for FY20E/ FY21E respectively.
  • Consensus target price of ₹ 580/- implies a PE multiple of 13x on FY21E EPS of ₹ 45.1/-

 

Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”