IT

CTC acquisition enables to scale up in insurance sector – Tech Mahindra

Update on the Indian Equity Market:

On Thursday, NIFTY closed in the red at 17,757 (-1%). Among the sectoral indices, METAL (+0.5%) and REALTY (+0.2%) were the only gainers while PHARMA (-1.7%), IT (1.66%), and HEALTHCARE (-1.3%) closed in the red. POWERGRID (+4.8%), BHARTIARTL (+2.2%), and GRASIM (+1.7%) were the top gainers. BAJAJFINSV (-4.6%), BAJAJ-AUTO (-3.7%), and DIVIS (-2.9%) were among the top losers.

Tech Mahindra recently announced the acquisition of Com Tec Co IT (CTC), an East-European IT Services company with a presence in the digital engineering and outsourced product development space, for EUR 310m.

Excerpts from an interview of Mr. Vivek Agarwal, President, BFSI, HLS, and Corporate Development, Tech Mahindra with ET NOW dated 18th January 2022:

  • Tech Mahindra is optimistic about the insurance industry in digital transformation and the industry itself is going through a significant transformation largely due to disruptive technologies.
  • Mr. Agarwal said CTC brings deep domain competence and a successful track record, in the long run, to serve insurers for transforming their journey.
  • Mr. Agarwal further added, the basic capability set that Tech Mahindra gets from CTC is digital engineering talent as a service line and as a capability, it’s a very high growth segment as enterprises transform for the future. Tech Mahindra expects this capability adds more value to existing customers of the company as well as new customers.
  • As Europe is becoming a big talent hub Tech Mahindra established a presence in Latvia and Belarus through CTC acquisition. The talent quality coming from that region is exceptional and the company expects to grow on the talent base in that region.
  • Tech Mahindra’s acquisitions are driven by close integration and driving synergies. From the CTC acquisition, Tech Mahindra stands to gain vertical synergy in the insurance sector. The company expects that it can directly sell services to the client base of CTC.
  • Tech Mahindra is looking to work on and exploit the service line synergy around digital engineering and clients also want the top-class capability to help them to transform, with the combination of Tech Mahindra and CTC company will be able to offer those capabilities to their clients.
  • The insurance and reinsurance industry has a huge presence in Europe but the company not only focuses on Europe it serves a global client base. From the financial metrics perspective, Mr. Agarwal expects the business to generate industry-leading EBIT margins and this would reflect in the EPS and free cash flow.
  • Tech Mahindra is looking for those sectors which has high growth opportunity and the insurance sector is one of those. The insurance industry has a mile in terms of digital transformation and some of the peers of Tech Mahindra have a strong presence in that sector and the company expects that they will perform higher than the industry average rate.
  • CTC is going to be an integral part of Tech Mahindra’s business and does not consider a subcontracting base. This will become a more important base for Tech Mahindra to expand its talent supply pool.

Asset Multiplier comments:

  • We think the CTC acquisition enable Tech Mahindra to expand its footprint in the insurance sector and expand its Eastern European presence.
  • It will provide Tech Mahindra with tech talent having differentiated capabilities in end-to-end digital engineering which can be scaled up across different industries.

Consensus Estimate: (Source: Market screener website)

  • The closing price of Tech Mahindra was ₹ 1,669/- as of 20-January-2022.  It traded at 26x/23x/20x the consensus Earnings per share estimate of ₹ 64.2/ 73.9/ 82.6/- for FY22E/FY23E/FY24E respectively.
  • The consensus average target price is ₹ 1,864/- which implies a PE multiple of 23x on FY24E EPS of 82.6/-.

Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

Datawrkz’s products will help optimise user acquisition cost – Nazara Technologies

Update on the Indian Equity Market:

On Wednesday, NIFTY ended at 17,938 (-0.1%) as it closed near the intraday low of 17,885. Among the sectoral indices, PSU BANK (+2.2%), MEDIA (+1.0%), and METAL (+0.8%) ended higher, whereas IT (-2.1%), FINANCIAL SERVICES 25/50 (-1.1%), and FINANCIAL SERVICES (-1.1%) led the losers. Among the stocks, ONGC (+3.5%), TATAMOTORS (+1.9%), and UPL (+1.9%) led the gainers while INFY (-2.9%), SHREECEM (-2.8%), and ASIANPAINT (-2.7%) led the losers.

Excerpts of an interview with Mr. Nitish Mittersain, founder and MD of Nazara Technologies (NAZARA) with Economic Times on 19th January 2022:

  • The company has discussed an issue of preferential shares, with its board. This issue is for funding the acquisition of a company called Datawrkz which is an AdTech platform based in Bangalore. Datawrkz earns 70% of its revenues from the US.
  • Datawrkz focuses on optimizing customer acquisition costs, especially on mobile. It has a product called Primus that generates higher revenues for publishers. When customers are monetizing through ads, its products and tools help them optimize the yield that they are getting on the ads.
  • NAZARA has a large user acquisition cost that comprises almost 20% or more of its revenues. Therefore, the company plans to deploy Datawrkz’s products and technologies to optimise its user acquisition cost. It also plans to use Primus to optimize the yields from its ads that may help it to increase its revenues.
  • The company has valued Datawrkz at Rs 2,250 mn. Initially, the company plans to take a 33% stake for Rs 600 mn, out of which Rs 350 mn will be paid in cash and the balance Rs 250 mn will be paid in cash or through shares and the balance will be decided based on their performance in CY2023.
  • In India, Datawrkz will be able to scale up using NAZARA’s network, and Datawrkz will be helpful for NAZARA to scale up its revenues in the US.
  • In CY2021, Datawrkz posted revenue of 900mn with about a 12% EBITDA margin. Though Datawrkz is generating positive cash flow, NAZARA’s focus will be to grow in terms of revenue and strategic initiatives, and not focus very strongly on margins as it believes that the business can scale significantly.

 

Asset Multiplier Comments

  • We believe that Nazara Tech’s acquisition of the stake in Datawrkz will benefit it in the reduction of user acquisition costs, and the use of Primus will help in increasing revenues for its e-sports, gamified learning, and other segments.
  • Datawrkz’s presence in multiple geographies including US and Singapore will turn out to be beneficial for Nazara to scale its presence in those markets.

Consensus Estimate: (Source: market screener website)

  • The closing price of NAZARA was ₹ 2,494/- as of 19-January-2022. It traded at 167x/ 105x/ 68x the consensus earnings estimates are ₹ 14.2/22.7/35.2 for FY22E/FY23E/FY24E respectively.
  • The consensus target price of ₹ 2,598/- implies a P/E Multiple of 74x on FY24E EPS estimate of ₹ 35.

Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

Expect higher demand for application modernization, cloud transformation, and digital engineering – HCL Tech

Update on the Indian Equity Market:

On Tuesday, Nifty closed lower at 18,113 (-1.1%) led by REALTY (-2.6%), AUTO (-2.4%), and METALS (-2.2%) were the top losers while there were no gainers.The top losers were MARUTI (-4.1%), TATACONSUM (-3.9%), and ULTRACEMCO (-3.8%) while AXISBANK (+1.8%), ICICIBANK (+0.5%), and HDFCBANK (+0.4%) were the top gainers.

Edited excerpts of an interview with Mr. Vijayakumar, MD & CEO, and Mr. Prateek Aggarwal, CFO, HCL Tech with CNBC TV18 on 17th January 2021:

  • The company’s order pipeline is healthy, with transaction wins increasing by 64% YoY in 3QFY22. Application modernization and cloud computing were driving the growth.
  • Hiring has grown to around 10,500 employees in the 3QFY22E. The management expects greater demand visibility for application modernization, cloud transformation, and digital engineering.
  • The management expects a strong 4QFY22E due to increased booking and order visibility as a result of the services segment’s hiring of over 10,000 individuals. Even if the firm has a flat 4QFY22E, management anticipates the company will expand at a rate of 12.6-12.7 percent in FY22E.
  • The company’s margins were five basis points (bps) higher in 3QFY22 QoQ, while services were a little weaker on the margin. Due to expenditures associated with growth, such as knowledge transfer fees, the IT services margin was lower. The management also highlighted that wage hikes in 3QFY22 and attrition levels, both of which have expenses, had an impact on margins. Management believes that attrition levels have reached a peak and that attrition should begin to decline. The management expects the margin to return to typical levels of approximately 20% by 2QFY23E to 3QFY23E.
  • In terms of fresher recruiting, the company plans to hire 20,000-22,000 freshers for FY22E.
  • The company’s recent acquisition of Hungary-based data engineering services provider Starschema Ltd for $ 42.5 mn is expected to help scale the company’s Eastern European footprint, particularly in Hungary. This is a data engineering consulting organization that offers front-end consulting, which can be a good trigger for a lot of downstream work. In Hungary, the corporation has solid mindshare attracting top personnel. As a result, the firm will be able to develop its Eastern European footprint more quickly, particularly in Hungary. The company will continue to seek assets that can enhance its capabilities, particularly in a high-demand market.
  • When it comes to the products and platforms business, management expects it to increase in the low single digits. The management anticipates that this will be a long-term play that is still getting modernized.
  • In terms of deal wins, the net new TCV in 3QFY22 was $2140 mn, a 64 percent increase from the previous year. The high TCV was due to 8 significant transactions on the services side, another 8 deals on the products and platforms side, and a large number of smaller deals.

 

Asset Multiplier Comments

  • We believe HCL Tech has a solid business model and a track record of successful execution. The company plans to hire at least 20,000 additional freshers by FY22E (with 15,000 already on board) and double the amount by FY23E. This reflects management’s confidence in future deal wins.
  • We believe the company will likely be at the lower end of the 19-21 percent EBIT guidance band in 4QFY22E, but the long-term growth narrative remains intact, bolstered by greater growth in cloud, ER&D, and data modernization.

Consensus Estimate (Source: market screener website)

 

  • The closing price of HCL Tech was ₹ 1,220/- as of 18-January-2022. It traded at 25x/22 x/ 19x the consensus earnings estimates of ₹ 49/ 56/ 63 for FY22E/FY23E/FY24E respectively.
  • The consensus target price of ₹ 1,460 /- implies a P/E Multiple of 23x on FY24E EPS estimate of ₹ 63/-.

Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

 

 

The attrition situation won’t change for the next few quarters – Mindtree

Update on the Indian Equity Market:

On Monday, Nifty closed higher at 18,308 (+0.3%). AUTO (+2.1%), REALTY (+1.3%), and CONSUMER DURABLES (+0.5%) were the top gainers while HEALTHCARE (-0.9%), PHARMA (-0.7%), and BANK (-0.4%) were top losing sectors.

The top losers were HCLTECH (-5.7%), HDFCBANK (-1.4%), and CIPLA (-1.3%) while HEROMOTOCO (+5.1%), GRASIM (+3.5%), and ONGC (+3.2%) were the top gainers.

 Edited excerpts of an interview with Mr. Debashis Chatterjee, Managing Director, and Chief Executive Officer, Mindtree with Economic Times on 14th January 2021:

  • A lot of transformation deals are happening as the clients are looking at maximising their revenues. Clients are also looking at cost optimisation and there is a lot of effort in terms of workplace modernisation, and workforce transformation for every client.
  • Most of the deals are digital and cloud led which are short cycle deals. The short cycle deals over some time develop into larger strategic relationships.
  • From an overall TCV standpoint, Mindtree has YTD USD 1.2 bn deal wins, which is 21% up YoY. The pipeline is robust and the company is confident of the deals to flow through in the coming quarters.
  • The deal pipeline is a mix of both large and transformation deals. At present, the short cycle deals are more and the company expects it to eventually get translated into multiyear initiatives.
  • The company is focused on taking the margins to healthy levels. It is satisfied with a 20% EBITDA margin on yearly basis. It has put processes to track the margins and various levers which are working well for the company.
  • The travel transport and hospitality portfolio has reached the pre-pandemic levels (USD 200 mn run rate in 3QFY22).
  • The company has diversified its travel transport and hospitality portfolio beyond airlines and hospitality. It has ventured into food and beverage, surface transformation, and cruise liners making the portfolio more resilient to the virus. The company expects this portfolio to get less impacted by the omicron variant.
  • Mindtree has been looking at Merger and Acquisition (M&A) and will be open to looking at inorganic M&As as well. It has done one inorganic in the past and is seeing good results.
  • At least for the next couple of quarters, Mr. Chatterjee doesn’t think the attrition scenario to change. The management has organized themselves to deal with and manage the talent in a more nimble and agile manner.

Asset Multiplier Comments

  • We think Mindtree has a resilient business model and has a proven track record of strong execution capabilities. The company’s plan to hire at least 1,500 freshers per quarter displays management’s confidence in winning deals going ahead.
  • We believe robust deal wins, sustainable growth, focus on multiyear engagements and margin expansion will aid topline and bottom-line growth.

Consensus Estimate (Source: market screener website)

  •  The closing price of Mindtree was ₹ 4,510/- as of 17-January-2022. It traded at 47x/ 41x/ 36x the consensus earnings estimates of ₹ 96/ 111/ 128 for FY22E/FY23E/FY24E respectively.
  • The consensus target price of ₹ 4,570/- implies a P/E Multiple of 36x on FY24E EPS estimate of ₹ 128/-.

Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

 

 

EBIT margin of 17-17.5% sustainable – Wipro

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Update on the Indian Equity Market:

On Thursday, after a volatile session the benchmark index NIFTY50 ended at 18,258 (+0.3%). Among the sectoral indices, METAL (+3.5%), PHARMA (+1.6%), and PSU BANK (+0.6%) led the gainers while REALTY (-0.7%), BANK (-0.7%), and PRIVATE BANK (-0.6%) led the laggards.

Among the NIFTY50 components, TATASTEEL (+6.3%), JSWSTEEL (+4.3%), and SUNPHARMA (+3.6%) led the gainers. WIPRO (-6.0%), ASIANPAINT (-2.4%), and HCLTECH (-1.9%) were the top losers.

Wipro recently announced 3QFY22 earnings, which were lower than street estimates. But the fourth-quarter guidance seems to provide some relief to investors.

The top management, MD & CEO Mr. Thierry Delaporte, CFO Mr. Jatin Dalal, and President and CHRO, Mr. Saurabh Govil discussed the highlights of 3QFY22 and their outlook for the upcoming quarters with CNBC-TV 18 on 13th January 2021. Following are the excerpts:

  • Wipro had guided for 2-4% sequential revenue growth in constant currency term for 3Q. The company delivered 3% QoQ revenue growth. There weren’t any one-offs or client loss or massive delivery issues. This is the normal volume of business.
  • The 3% sequential revenue growth is 28% YoY growth. The 3QFY22 revenue growth is the continuation of the growth seen over the last 5 quarters.
  • The CEO does not expect a significant contribution to revenues from the recently concluded acquisitions of Edgile and LeanSwift.
  • The reported EBIT margin was 17.6%, ahead of the guidance of 17-17.5%. The margin delivery has been despite 2 months of salary increment to 80% of its employees. The utilisation is such that there is some headroom for subsequent quarters.
  • The EBIT margin band of 17-17.5% is sustainable for the company in the long term.
  • The attrition for LTM was 22.7% in 3QFY22 and remains a concern industry-wide. It has taken certain measures to cope with higher levels of attrition. First, the company onboarded 10,000 plus employees every quarter and continues to onboard new people. Wipro has increased campus hiring by 70% in FY22. The company is looking at 30,000plus hiring in FY23E. Second, the company continues to laterally hire all skill sets across the globe based on demand. Some of the high-demand areas are cyber security, data, cloud, and newer areas like Salesforce. The company believes the attrition has peaked and expects to see moderate attrition going forward.
  • The company closed the biggest quarter in terms of bookings in 3QFY22. It reflects Wipro’s ability to win in the market. It has the biggest pipeline it ever had as it begins 4QFY22. It has a better win rate compared to previous quarters.
  • The CEO believes the clients’ budgets across industries will continue to increase. The win rate has improved by 300bps over the previous two years.
  • Improvement in price realisation is seen due to the move to high-value services such as cyber security, cloud, and digital. Wipro had made investments in certain skill sets and improved visibility, for which clients are willing to invest.

Asset Multiplier Comments

  • We believe revenue growth will be driven by strong demand, strong pipeline, and order book. The company’s order pipeline has a mix of small, medium, and large deals with the company seeing expansion in mid-sized deals.
  • There is a massive opportunity in the cloud business over the next five years. The Company has been making investments in cloud technology. Cloud opportunity, higher offshoring, and synergies from acquired business are expected to drive profitability for Wipro in the near term.

Consensus Estimate: (Source: market screener website)

  • The closing price of Wipro was ₹ 650/- as of 13-January-2022. It traded at 30x/ 25x/ 22x the consensus earnings estimates of ₹ 22/ 26/ 29/- for FY22E/FY23E/FY24E respectively.
  • The consensus target price of ₹ 703/- implies a P/E Multiple of 24x on FY24E EPS estimate of ₹ 29/-.

Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

CP Gurnani’s plan for Tech Mahindra amid Covid-19 uncertainty

Update on the Indian Equity Market:

On Tuesday, the benchmark index NIFTY 50 closed at 17,233 (+0.9%), 147 points higher. Among the sectoral indices, CONSUMER DURABLES (+1.4%), AUTO (+1.3%), and PSU BANK (+1%) led the gainers and there were no losers today. Among the NIFTY50 components, SUNPHARMA (+3.1%), ASIANPAINT (+2.8%), and M&M (+2.6%) were the top gainers while POWERGRID (-0.34%) and INDUSINDBK (-0.27%) led the laggards.

Excerpts of an interview with Tech Mahindra’s CEO and Managing Director CP Gurnani with Business Standard on 25th December 2021:

  • 50% of revenues for TECHM come from telecom service providers and the telecom ecosystem. The 3 factors that would really help telecom grow are; the first one being network up-gradation to 5G, second- newer platforms that will drive consumption of telecom and the third one which is the most dominant according to Mr. Gurnani is that the more work from home happens the more everyone would appreciate the importance of network service providers.
  • TECHM has not abandoned the ORAN (Open Radio Access Network), it is just that the number of players in this space has increased. Other than Rakuten, Microsoft, VMware, and Mavenir have come up with their own ORAN ecosystems. TECHM is definitely committed but to remain neutral, it was important for them to not be seen as execution partner to one. So, their strategy is to not be a product company but execute with some of the leading players.
  • There is a new way of managing networks which has become a theme for telcos. All the players in the telecom sector are trying to find viable alternate proofs of concept at a certain scale and volume and Mr. Gurnani believes that they are execution partner to every player including Airtel and Jio.
  • Talent is an industry-wide issue at this point as consumption from IT service providers, global technology and start-ups have increased. There is definitely a talent war going on.
  • TECHM anticipated the talent issue and opened offices in Tier 2 cities in Coimbatore, Vizag, Thiruvananthapuram, Indore, Nagpur, Calcutta, and Bhuvneshwar. So, the focus is on people’s preferences to work from their home locations.
  • TECHM has now opened offices in Vietnam, Bangladesh, and in the Eastern European block. As a strategy they are trying to catch young talent, train them and participate in their career development.
  • Work from the office is voluntary at Tech M till December-end due to safety reasons. A survey of TECHM’s employees showed that those below the age of 35 want to come to the office, 35-50 age group is leaning towards a hybrid model and 50 and above prefer working from home. TECHM’s work policy will be formed taking into account their client and employee needs.
  • TECHM will continue to try and be among the top 3 IT services companies in India.

Asset Multiplier Comments

  • We think Healthy deal wins, traction in the communication segment led by legacy modernization, 5G, customer care, automation, network, and cloud will help drive revenues.
  • Higher offshoring, synergies in portfolio companies, automation & operating leverage to help margin expansion going forward.

Consensus Estimate: (Source: market screener and Tikr website)

  • The closing price of Tech Mahindra was ₹ 1,806/- as of 28-December-2021. It traded at 28x/25x/22x the EPS estimates of ₹ 64/73/81/- for FY22E/FY23E/FY24E respectively.
  • The consensus target price of ₹ 1,794/- implies a P/E Multiple of 22 on FY24 EPS estimate of ₹ 81/-

Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

Company confident of delivering 60-70% CAGR over next 3 years: Dixon Tech

Update on the Indian Equity Market:

On Monday, Benchmark indices erased previous session losses and ended higher with Nifty closing at 17,086 (+0.49%).

PHARMA (+1.62%), HEALTHCARE (+1.42%) and FINANCIAL SERVICES (+0.91%) were the top gainers and MEDIA (-1.06%), FMCG (-0.08%) and METAL (-0.06%) were top losing sectors.

The top losers were HINDALCO (-3.7%), BRITANNIA (-3.36%), and ONCG (-3.27%) while TECHM (+3.44%), CIPLA (+2.26%) and  DRREDDY (+2.06%) were the top gainers.

 Company confident of delivering 60-70% CAGR over next 3 years: Dixon Tech

Edited Excerpts of an interview with Atul Lall, Managing Director, Dixon Tech with CNBCTV18 on 24th Dec, 2021:

  • According to broker report the company is expected to deliver 60-70% sales CAGR over the next 3 years. Mr Lall stated that the company is confident of delivering these numbers.
  • The company has grown from Rs 44 bn in FY20 to Rs 64 bn in revenues in FY21. The company is targeting to reach Rs 110 bn in FY22E even after Jun-21 quarter being weak due to Covid-19. It expects revenue to be in the range of Rs 170 bn in FY23E. He is confident of this aggressive growth and to be in the lead position in its sector.
  • On the margin front, FY22E has been extremely difficult year for Dixon, particularly for Original Design Manufacturing business. Softening of commodity prices has been seen both in polymer and metal side over the past few weeks. A decline in the freight cost is also been witnessed recently and is relatively stable at present.
  • In B2B (Business to Business) there is a lag in passing off the cost increases to the customers. Company expects to pass on the price increases by next (Mar-22E) quarter but in the Dec-21 quarter the margins are expected to be under pressure.
  • The chip shortage situation has improved slightly but the situation is not fully under control. Most of the companies including Dixon have aligned their forecasting, have started building more inventories and are well aware of the longer lead times. The production situation is much better but the chip shortage problem has not been resolved yet.
  • There was a Directorate of Revenue Intelligence (DRI) survey in Tirupati plant and corporate office pertaining to Television vertical. The issues raised by DRI were interpretational in nature. The company extended all the possible support to the officers and the company is committed to defend its stand in front of DRI.
  • Focus of FY22E – Dixon has got into Mobile vertical and it is expected to be the growth driver going forward and to contribute significantly to the total revenue of the company.
  • Dixon has got into a Joint Venture with Bharti and have got the approval under the telecom verdict to manufacture consumer premises devices. It is expected to start manufacturing from Mar-22E quarter for Airtel. In FY23E a huge ramp up is expected by the company from Mobile vertical.
  • Dixon have tied up with some major customers for manufacturing IT products, a ramp up in its production is expected.
  • Dixon have launched fully automatic top loading machines which is expected to contribute to the growth from FY23E.
  • Dixon is also rolling out Refrigerator products, the production of the same is expected to start from 4QFY22E. A reasonably good growth is expected to be seen from the existing verticals.
  • Under the PLI scheme: The company have started production and investment on IT hardware side, telecom Side and white boards. Backward integration for lighting products under PLI scheme is under process. Company expects to start the production of components of lighting products from 1QFY23E.

 

Asset Multiplier Comments

  • We think Dixon is one of the largest beneficiaries of the government’s PLI scheme and new segments such as electronics/IT products, telecom products and LED lights & AC component will help the company to achieve its target of 60% CAGR for over next 3 years.
  • Domestic mobile production is set to grow under PLI scheme. We believe Dixon is one of the main beneficiaries which will drive future revenue for Dixon.

 

Consensus Estimate (Source: market screener and investing.com websites)

 

  • The closing price of Dixon Tech Ltd was ₹ 5,617/- as of 27-Dec-21. It traded at 127x/72x/52x the consensus EPS estimate of ₹ 44.2/77.7/108 for FY22E/ FY23E/FY24E respectively.
  • The consensus target price of ₹ 5,079/- implies a PE multiple of 47x on FY24E EPS of ₹ 108/-.

 

Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

 

Demand is robust but supply-side constraints due to new variant – Sonata Software

Update on the Indian Equity Market:

On Wednesday, the benchmark index NIFTY 50 closed at 16,955 (+1.1%), 185 points higher. Among the sectoral indices, REALTY (+3.0%), PHARMA (+2.0%), and METAL (+1.8%) led the gainers. None of the sectoral indices ended with losses. Among the NIFTY50 components, HINDALCO (+4%), TATAMOTORS (+3.7%), and DIVISLAB (+3.5%) were the top gainers while SBILIFE (-1%), WIPRO (-0.7%), and GRASIM (-0.4%) led the laggards.

Excerpts of an interview with Mr. Jagannathan Chakravarthi, CFO of Sonata Software with CNBC-TV18 on 20th December 2021:

  • Chakravarthi said they did not see any impact on demand due to the omicron variant and they also don’t expect any impact. Due to omicron, they expect there will be some supply-side constraints but the company has taken initiatives to mitigate the risk like diversified delivery centers in various locations globally. The pipeline is very strong and company expects the demand continues for the next 8 to 12 quarters.
  • On working from the office Mr. Chakravarthi said, they are not very clear about working from the office. The large players have started the process but Sonata exploring and evaluating possibilities of how much workforce will work from home for now and they said the company is not going back to an earlier stage of 100% work from home. The industry is in the wait and watch kind of situation and the company will decide after some clarity comes on omicron and its impact.
  • In the shorter term, there will be some cost pressure. The salary increases, retention bonus, and salary increment cycle are likely to put pressure on cost. 3QFY22 is expected to be a little moderate in terms of attrition for the overall industry but the company will look at how 4QFY22 and 1QFY23E are coming out in terms of attrition and cost pressure. The impact of cost increases is expected for one or two quarters and margins will not substantially be affected because of that.
  • On client addition, he said there is no pressure on new client addition. Company qualifying the clients according to their qualifying mechanism and prioritizing the clients because the demand is huge. The company is at high levels of utilization and it has to match up with supply-side also.
  • Sonata Software is at EBITDA levels of 27% to 28% which is an industry-leading margin. The company expects if the changes happen in the business for the medium term they will continue to maintain a 23% to 25% EBITDA level for a longer run.
  • The company expects demand to continue to be robust and the company will be at an industry-leading growth rate. It’s hiring has been strong for the last 2 quarters and the company is now well prepared for omicron compared to the delta variant.

Asset Multiplier Comments

  • We think Sonata Software will be able to add more clients as they have strong hiring plans and are investing in senior talent to meet the strong demand momentum. This is likely to drive the growth of the company in the longer run. The hiring also controls the attrition rate and utilization levels.
  • Share of digital revenue has been continuously improving from the last few quarters in International IT Services (IITS). We think a higher share from digital revenue drives the higher margins in IITS. Healthy traction in Retail, Commodity and travel segment we expect strong revenue growth in going forward.

Consensus Estimate: (Source: market screener website)

  • The closing price of Sonata software was ₹ 814/- as of 22-December-2021. It traded at 25x/20x/18x the EPS estimates of ₹ 32.4/41.5/46.5/- for FY22E/FY23E/FY24E respectively.
  • The consensus target price of ₹ 964/- implies a P/E Multiple of 23x on FY23 EPS estimate of ₹ 41.5/-.

Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

Acquired biz segment seeing steep growth – Tech Mahindra

Update on the Indian Equity Market:

On Tuesday, Nifty ended in the green amid weak global cues. It ended at 17,176 (+1.6%) after making a high of 17,251. METAL (+3.1%), PRIVATE BANK (+2.5%), and BANK (+2.5%) were the top sectoral gainers and there were no sectoral losers. Among the NIFTY50 stocks, HINDALCO (+5.1%), TATASTEEL (+4.0%), and AXISBANK (+3.6%) were the top gainers while BRITANNIA (-0.6%), CIPLA (-0.6%), and DIVISLAB (-0.4%) were the top losers.

Edited excerpts of an interview with Mr. Vivek Agarwal, President-BFSI and Corporate Development at Tech Mahindra (TECHM) with CNBCTV18 on 6th December 2021:

  • The last couple of years have opened a new segment of WFH, this acquisition helps TECHM service their customers with a new channel and takes. It takes away a lot of dependency on physical infrastructure and helps provide services from anywhere.
  • The entire WFH segment has been witnessing explosive growth over the last couple of years. From a long-term perspective, 55% of customer experience workers are expected to work from home or from anywhere by 2024. This represents huge a addressable market space for TECHM.
  • From a synergies viewpoint, the company will be taking these capabilities to their existing customers and Activus Connect has its customer base as well which represents a significant cross-sell opportunity for TECHM.
  • TECHM expects this explosive growth to continue over the next 3-4 years.
  • The acquired company has industry-standard margins and on the growth front, the business’ organic growth is been exceptional. From a long-term perspective of its core business, TECHM expects to generate 30-40% additional revenues through synergies and take these capabilities to the existing customers.
  • The acquired company has a unique technology platform that lets one apply all the good practices around data, security, and performance management for remote workers.
  • TECHM expects the business to have industry-leading growth on its own and is excited about the synergies that will be created out of this acquisition in the knowledge segment space.
  • The margins of this company are expected to be at par with what TECHM does which is their objective in every acquisition they do.
  • While certain capabilities are specific to particular sectors, the offering per se is sector agnostic.
  • Return to the office for TECHM employees is largely voluntary. Some of them are returning in hybrid mode and this work model is expected to continue. However, 15-20% of their workforce has started coming to the office which mainly comprises of the top management of the company.

Asset Multiplier Comments

  • TECHM has grown organically & inorganically (dollar revenue CAGR FY17-21 of 4%). The company will continue to acquire for scale, synergies, cross-sell benefits, and upselling.
  • We expect healthy deal wins, traction in the communication segment led by legacy modernization, 5G, customer care, automation, network, and cloud to drive revenues.
  • Higher offshoring, synergies in portfolio companies, automation, & operating leverage is expected to help margin expansion.

Consensus Estimate (Source: market screener and Tikr websites)

  • The closing price of TECHM was ₹ 1,575/- as of 07-December-21. It traded at 25x/22x/19x the consensus EPS estimate of ₹ 64/73/81 for FY22E/ FY23E/FY24E respectively.
  • The consensus target price of ₹ 1,783/- implies a PE multiple of 22x on FY24E EPS of ₹ 81/-.

Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

Betting on a healthy orderbook – Dixon Tech

Update on the Indian Equity Market:

On Monday, NIFTY ended flat at 17,054 (-0.01%) as it closed near the opening level of 17,056. Among the sectoral indices, IT (+0.8%), CONSUMER DURABLES (+0.2%), and FINANCIAL SERVICES (+0.1%) ended higher, whereas MEDIA (-2.2%), PSU BANK (-2.0%) and REALTY (-1.7%) led the losers. Among the stocks, KOTAKBANK (+2.4%), HCLTECH (+2.2%), and HDFCLIFE (+1.7%) led the gainers while BPCL (-2.6%), SUNPHARMA (-2.3%), and ADANIPORTS (-2.1%) led the losers.

Excerpts of an interview with Mr. Atul Lall, MD of Dixon Tech India (DIXON) with CNBC TV18 on 26th November 2021:

  • DIXON is a beneficiary of PLI scheme for IT hardware and it has tied up with Acer, a Taiwanese IT hardware firm for manufacturing laptops. The company has already started manufacturing laptops in its in-house facility for Acer.
  • From the laptop segment, the company expects to achieve a minimum targeted revenue of Rs 500 mn in the 1st year of manufacturing. From 2nd year onward, the company expects to achieve a PLI scheme upward revenue ceiling of Rs 6bn, Rs 16bn, and Rs 24bn respectively.
  • DIXON’s laptop segment being a prescriptive business (DIXON work based on Acer’s laptop designs), the operating margins will be in around of 4%.
  • The company’s capex for FY22 is expected to be Rs 4,500 mn, out of which the capex for laptop segment will be Rs 200 mn. In FY23, the capex is expected to increase to Rs 2500 mn.
  • Speaking of its segments, the company has a healthy order book for mobiles. It is also planning to enter in a JV with Bharti Airtel to provide telecom related products, IoT (Internet of Things) devices. The company is also launching LED monitors in the 4QFY22. The company’s revenue target for FY23E is around Rs 170 – Rs 175 bn.
  • Company’s ODM (old design machines) business is facing commodity price increase pressure and there’s a lag in passing on the price increase to its customers. The company is seeing some softening in prices. It expects margin pressures to remain in the short term, but later it will be able to pass it on to the customers.
  • 90% of the company’s own design revenues come from the lighting segment. Due to its large scale in this segment, the company is able to benefit from operating leverage. The margin pressure easing is happening in the segment.

 

Asset Multiplier Comments

  • The laptop segment revenue estimates seem to increase exponentially. As it’s a prescriptive business, with low operating margins, it may take several quarters for the company to meaningfully benefit for the segment.
  • The markets for laptops, mobiles, and IoT devices are quite competitive. Therefore, we may have to see how company’s plans for its new segments pan out.
  • As the world is concerned with fear of Omicron Covid-19 variant spread, it may lead to stricter sanitation rules within the country, and may also result in lockdowns if the conditions worsen. This may affect the manufacturing and planned executions of new product launches of DIXON.

Consensus Estimate: (Source: market screener website)

  • The closing price of DIXON was ₹ 5,005/- as on 29-Nov-2021. It traded at 114x/65x/47x the consensus earnings estimate of ₹ 45/78/108 for FY22E/FY23E/FY24E respectively.
  • The consensus target price of ₹ 4986/- implies a PE multiple of 46x on FY24E EPS of ₹ 108/-.

Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”