Tag - Mergers & Acquisitions

Demand to bounce back as festive season approaches – Dalmia Bharat

Update on the Indian Equity market:
On Monday, Nifty50 ended marginally higher at 11,931 as the Finance Minister announced fiscal stimulus measures. Among the sectoral indices, IT (+1.7%), PHARMA (+0.9%), and FMCG (+0.3%) were the only gainers while MEDIA (-2.4%), PSU BANK (-1.7%) and REALTY (-1.1%) led the losers. Among the stocks, INFY (+2.9%), ITC (+2.7%), and UPL (+2.0) led the gainers while BHARTIARTL (-2.8%), JSWSTEEL (-2.7%), and GAIL (-2.6%) led the losers.

Excerpts of an interview with Mr. Mahendra Singhi, MD and CEO of Dalmia Bharat with CNBC TV-18 which aired on 12th October 2020:
• The cement sector is on the path of revival. September demand vs the previous months of July and August is much better.
• The rural areas are showing good progress due to better economy or better policies from the government. The demand is increasing on a month-on-month basis.
• Both the urban and rural areas have shown good demand in the month of September as labor issues are being sorted. Sufficient steps to ensure the safety of the people have been taken. Now, the fear is reducing and people are assuming this to the new normal and working.
• Festival season is around the corner and demand is expected to bounce back.
• There was a 10% decline YoY in the months of July and August. September was 3-5% lower than a year ago.
• The cement sector is a localized business. Demand has been good in certain regions such as the North and Eastern parts of India due to a higher percentage of rural markets in those areas. Part of Southern states are still facing challenges.
• He expects the month of October 20 to be better than October 19.
• The company has completed the acquisition of Murali Industries. The revival activities for Murali industries has started and is expected to take nine months as the company was closed for a long time.
• The acquisition of Murali Industries and capacity addition at two plants is expected to increase the total capacity to 33,000 mn tonne by March 21.

Consensus Estimate: (Source: market screener website)
• The closing price of Dalmia Bharat was ₹ 790/- as of 12-October-2020. It traded at 36x/ 25x/ 13x the consensus earnings estimate of ₹ 22/ 31.4/ 60.2 per share for FY21E/FY22E/FY23E respectively.
• The consensus target price of ₹ 959 implies a PE multiple of 16x on FY23E EPS of ₹ 60.2/-.

Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

‘Pricing is not an issue because we have hit rock bottom and it can only get better from here. It cannot get worse than this’ – Ravi Vishwanath, CFO, Teamlease

Update on the Indian Equity Market:

There was optimism in the global markets after US President Donald Trump’s comments on the Iran conflict eased worries. On Thursday, Nifty50 ended 1.6% higher at 12,216. Nifty Realty (+2.7%), Nifty Auto (+2.7%) and Nifty PSU Bank (+2.4%) were the top gainers among sectoral indices. Nifty IT (-0.2%) was the only sector that ended the day in the red. Among the stocks, JSW Steel (+5.9%), Infratel (5.4%) and Tata Motors (+5.4%) were the biggest gainers while TCS (-1.6%), Coal India (-1.1%) and HCL Tech (-0.8%) ended in the red.

‘Pricing is not an issue because we have hit rock bottom and it can only get better from here. It cannot get worse than this’ – Ravi Vishwanath, CFO, Teamlease

Excerpts from an interview with Ravi Vishwanath, CFO, Teamlease with ETNOW on January 8, 2020:

  • Talking about the outlook on the staffing business, he says they expected a better offtake in the general staffing business but some amount of slowness has percolated into Q4 from Q3.
  • The pipeline continues to be strong and they are hopeful on the deals they are pursuing.
  • There is still nervousness in the market. Temporary staffing is still okay as people expect things will be getting back to normal sooner rather than later.
  • On the productivity front, they are working on multiple projects on the tech backend. Their focus is on these backend IT projects, which are expected to contribute to productivity soon.
  • Some one-time charges had impacted the company’s margins in H1. They do not expect those charges in H2, so margins will be on similar lines as seen in the past.
  • When asked how has the acquisition of IMSI, a company focussed on infrastructure management, he said that they basically complete the portfolio of services that Team Lease has to offer in the IT staffing space. With the acquisition complete, they are now focussed on integrating all the services under a common leadership at the backend.
  • They have exited 75-80% of the margin dilutive projects they entered into last year and are hopeful of exiting from the others before 31st March. Then, they expect telecom margins to be back to 4-5% like what they were in the past.
  • There is some interest with companies for telecom staffing, which is a good sign for the telecom staffing business.
  • Since there are no entry barriers in the highly fragmented industry, there has been a lot of new entrants. However, there are huge barriers to scale in this industry. That is why there aren’t many companies with more than a 50,000 headcount. TeamLease operates with all organised players and there aren’t many smaller companies that have been able to reach that scale.
  • Since they work with recognised names, pricing does not seem to be an issue and he is hopeful that it can only get better from here.

Consensus Estimate (Source: market screener website)

  • The closing price of TeamLease Services was ₹ 2,590/- as on 09-January-20. It traded at 45x/ 31x/ 24x the consensus EPS of ₹ 57.8 / 83.3 / 110 for FY20E/ FY21E/ FY22E respectively.
  • Consensus target price is ₹ 2,900/- which implies a PE multiple of 26x on FY22E EPS of ₹ 110/-