Tag - advertising

Dramatic recovery in advertising revenues – Sun TV

Update on the Indian Equity Market:
On Monday Nifty closed 0.1% higher at 13,568. Among the sectoral indices, Media (+1.8%), Auto (+0.6%), and Metal (+0.8%) closed higher. Nifty PSU Bank (-1.5%), FMCG (-1.3%), and Pharma (-0.2%) closed lower. Bajaj Finance (+5.1%), Bajaj Finserv (+4.2%), and Eicher Motors (+3.1%) closed on a positive note. HUL (-2.1%), Nestle (-2.1%), and BPCL (-1.8%) were among the top losers.

Excerpts from an interview of Mr. SL Narayanan CFO, Sun Group with CNBC-TV18 dated 14th December 2020:

● Mr. Narayanan said the company has dramatic recovery in advertising revenues.
● The recovery on QoQ basis is better but the kind of set back company witnessed in the 1st half of the year the recovery is not that sharp to recover all the deficits.
● He said the subscription will become the mainstay of media companies like Sun Tv.
● 9 years back, the subscription revenues were averaging around Rs 85 crore a quarter which was Rs 340 crore run rate annually. That number has now touched Rs 2,000cr.
● Speaking on infrastructure, he said the company has prepared in the last 3-4 years for streaming.
● The company is investing in more forms of content.
● He said the telecom companies are sourcing content from media companies.
● The company is looking to spend Rs 400 cr on original content and in addition to this, the company will be producing movies.
● The company will also Rs 200 cr for exclusive content on Sun Next.

Consensus Estimate: (Source: market screener and Investing.com websites)
● The closing price of Sun TV was ₹ 500 as of 14-December-2020. It traded at 14x/ 13x/ 12x the consensus Earnings per share estimate of ₹ 35.5/39.1/41.9 for FY21E/ FY22E/ FY23E respectively.
● The consensus average target price for Sun TV is ₹ 523/- which implies a PE multiple of 12x on FY23E EPS of 41.9/-.
Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

Strong 2QFY21 performance, expect 2HFY21 to better – Emami

Update on the Indian Equity Market:

On Tuesday, Nifty closed 1.4% higher at 12,631. Within NIFTY50, BAJFINANCE (+8.9%), INDUSINDBK (+7.3%), and LT (+6.9%) were the top gainers, while TECHM (-5.7%), CIPLA (-5.4%), and HCLTECH (-5.0%) were the top losing stocks. Among the sectoral indices, FINANCIAL SERVICES (+4.1%), BANK (+3.9%), and PRIVATE BANK (+3.7%) were the top gainerswhilePHARMA (-4.3%), and IT (-3.9%) were the only losing sectors.

Strong 2QFY21 performance, expect 2HFY21 to better – Emami

Excerpts of an interview with Mr. N H Bhansali, CEO-Finance& CEO, Emami, aired on CNBC-TV19 on 9thNovember 2020
● In 2QFY21, Emami delivered 10% YoY volume growth, 11% YoY revenue growth and 33% YoY EBITDA growth.
● In 2QFY21, excluding the winter portfolio which had a weak quarter, the revenue growth was 28% YoY.
● The growth was seen across all brands, channels and geographies. Kesh King had highest ever quarterly growth, healthcare sector delivered 50%+ YoY growth in 2QFY21.
● Now winter is setting in and management expects 2HFY21 to be better. Trajectory in October 2020 was good and all brands are performing well.
● Healthcare segment, which includes chyawanprash and other immunity boosters, growth was 40% in 1QFY21 and 53% in 2QFY21.
● There is no extra inventory with the dealers now and the supply chain has settled well from the interim covid-19 disruption. So growth would continue.
● In line with the FMCG industry, Emami’s advertising expenses have now returned to pre-covid levels.
● Management expects EBITDA margin to expand from 26% in FY20 to ~30% for FY21E.

Consensus Estimate (Source: market screener website)
● The closing price of EMAMILTD was ₹ 380/- as of 10-November-2020. It traded at 38x/ 31x/ 26x the consensus EPS estimate of ₹ 10.1/12.1/14.5 for FY21E/ FY22E/ FY23E respectively.
● The consensus target price of ₹ 391/- implies a PE multiple of 27x on FY23E EPS of ₹14.5/-.

Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

ZEEL: ZEE5 targets to reach ~15mn daily active users in 6 months

Update on the Indian Equity Market: 

On Friday, NIFTY closed in the red at ~12,056 points (-0.8%) reversing the previous day gains. In the sector-wise performances, REALTY (+1.0%) was the best performing sector while Media (-2.5%) and Metal (-1.2%) was the worst-performing sector. Amongst the NIFTY 50 Stocks, INFRATEL (+6.7%), ADANI PORTS (+2.3%) were the top gainers while ZEEL (-7.9%) HINDUNILVR (-2.6%) were the worst performers.

ZEEL: ZEE5 targets to reach ~15mn daily active users in 6 months

Key takeaways from the interview of Mr Tarun Katial, CEO of Zee5, the online video streaming Over The Top (OTT) platform of Zee Entertainment Enterprises Ltd (ZEEL); dated 28th November 2019 on CNBC-TV18:

  • ZEE5 reached out to ~8.9 million daily active users, and over 80 million monthly actives and huge watch time. It targets to reach out to ~15 million daily active users in about ~6 months.
  • ZEE5 is offering 12 Indian languages today and five foreign languages. The company is looking to expand in Assamese, Malayalam, Kannada in the next six months.
  • It has a 3V strategy – Vernacular, Video and Voice. The User Interface (UI) and User Experience (UX) supports 12 languages. When the user opens the app, the first thing it asks is the language preference which reaches out to those many languages, both in display and content. ZEE5 gets the content through the web of Zee language channels. But building the UI in those many languages and navigating consumers in so many languages was critical. Indian keypads don’t support so many languages. A voice search is an important tool to let consumers discover the content quickly and easily.
  • ZEE5 also built a robust Advertising Video-on-Demand (AVoD) and Subscription Video-on-Demand (SVoD) strategy. The company made some very big investments on the AVoD side in building the ad suite. Ad tech (advertising technology) is run by big tech companies in India – Google Facebook and Twitter – and to compete in the ad space, ZEE5 needs to build its own ad suite.
  • ZEE5 is also building the self-serve bidding model where advertisers can book their own advertising slots, bid for advertising slots, the pricing is on a bidding model and optimises the advertisement themselves on an optimisation engine.
  • To reach out to more and more audience; ZEE5 needs to get hyper-personalised. It launched a new recommendation engine which between auto-curation and hyper-personalisation enabling it to offer a differentiated yet personalised service.
  • ZEE5 is investing in automation. It piloted with the tool from Microsoft Azure for self-editing.
  • Most of the app is fully curated through artificial intelligence and machine learning. ZEEL doesn’t do any manual curation anymore. ZEE5 is also evaluating a mobile-only plan, much like Netflix.
  • There is a significant growth month-on-month, both on the AVoD and SVoD side. ZEE5 is expected to break even within 5 years. 
  • According to Mr Katial, outside of (Amazon) Prime, Zee5 possibly has the largest subscription base in the country. ZEE5 is also looking to tie up with talks with other OTT platforms as well as good production houses.
  • ZEE5 is looking to capitalise on the content created by ZEEL over 27 years.
  • Brands are extremely important today in the day and age of social transparency. Mr Katial mentioned that ZEE5 has enough checks and balances to be able to deal with consumer complaints. It has a panel of people who look at all the complaints, a customer service team who gives feedback, who holds up the content team and make changes themselves.

Consensus Estimate (Source: market screener and investing.com website)

  • The closing price of ZEE was ₹ 286/- as of 29-November-19. It traded at 15x/13x/12x the consensus EPS estimate for FY20E/ FY21E/ FY22E of ₹ 19.7 / 22.3 / 24.3 respectively.
  • Consensus target price of ₹ 351/- implies a PE multiple of 14x on FY22E EPS of ₹ 24.3/-