Cautious on MSME Portfolio – Indusind Bank

Cautious on MSME Portfolio – Indusind Bank

Update on the Indian Equity Market:

On Tuesday, Nifty closed in the red at 14,497 (-0.9%). Among the sectoral indices, PSU Bank (+3.4%) was the only gainer. Pharma (-2.0%), Auto (-0.9%), and Financial Services (-0.8%) closed in the red. SBI Life (+2.7%), BPCL (+1.6%), and ONGC (+1.4%) were the top gainers. Tata Consumer (-4.3%), CIPLA (-3.1%), and Dr Reddy (-2.1%) were among the top losers.

Excerpts from an interview of Mr. Sumant Kathpalia, MD & CEO, Indusind Bank with CNBC-TV18 dated 03rd May 2021:

  • Speaking on the retail slippages, Mr Kathpalia said the increases in slippages were led by the commercial vehicle segment.
  • The collections in the month of April were 1% lower than the expected collections.
  • Speaking about MSME portfolio, he said the portfolio is worth Rs 110bn. These are loans given to small entrepreneurs for working capital requirements.
  • The loans given to entrepreneurs are secured in nature. The slippages in Q4FY21 were 3.5-4% and provisions are made.
  • The bank has given Rs 14bn into ECLGS scheme of SME portfolio. The commercial vehicle side of the book is doing well for the bank.
  • Transportation segment portfolio on the retail side is still lagging.
  • Speaking about vehicle finance, he said the disbursements had a growth of 30% YoY and in Commercial vehicles, the growth was 40% YoY.
  • The bank has a 12-14% market share in these segments and the bank will continue to maintain its high market share.
  • Speaking about the current environment, he said there is demand from large corporates and mid corporates. Going ahead the bank will stay cautious on its MSME portfolio.
  • In 4QFY21, the bank reported flat Net Interest Income (NII). Mr. Kathpalia said it was an outcome of low loan growth (3% YoY reported).

 

Asset Multiplier comments:

  • Several banks have a cautious stance on the MSME segment as lockdowns due to the 2nd wave of Covid-19 might impact small businesses.
  • In 4QFY21, Indusind Bank reported 30% YoY and 8% QoQ growth in vehicle disbursements. Certain state specific lockdowns might lead to decline in monthly auto sales which may impact the vehicle finance segment in 1HFY22E.

 

Consensus Estimate: (Source: Market screener website and Investing.com websites)

  • The closing price of Indusind Bank was ₹ 912 as of 04-May-2021.  It traded at 1.4x/1.3 x the consensus BV per share estimate of ₹ 614/691 for FY22E/FY23E respectively.
  • The consensus average target price is ₹ 1,046/- which implies a PB multiple of 1.5x on FY23E BVPS of 691/-.

Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

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