This week in a nutshell (11th – 13th April)Maitreyee Vaishampayan
NIFTY opened the truncated week at 17,741 on 11th April. The index closed 1.5% lower at 17,476 on 13th April. RSI (14) of 53 is trending downwards and MACD is trending upwards. On the upside, 18,191 could act as resistance while 20DMA of 17,296 could act as support.
FMCG (+1.7%), and Metal (+0.1%) were the only sectoral indices to close the week with gains. IT (-3.0%), Realty (-2.1%), and Auto (-1.1%) led the laggards.
- IT heavyweights TCS, and Infosys released 4QFY22 and FY22 earnings this week. While the numbers were largely in line with the street estimates, attrition continues to be a problem. While demand continues to be robust, there are headwinds of hiring, salary increments, and return of travel spending.
- US markets ended the week in the red on Thursday. Bond rates spiked as investors worried about the prospect of aggressive policy tightening in the United States. Oher central banks around the world have started increasing interest rates. Following the release of US economic data for retail sales and jobless claims, the benchmark US government yield increased.
- Fuel costs rose during the first full month of the Russia-Ukraine war, causing inflation in the United States to reach a 40-year high. While prices began to rise last year as the economy recovered from the Covid-19 outbreak, the most recent monthly report showed expenses for numerous items reaching record highs. According to the report, the increase may be leveling out.
- The European Central Bank confirmed its asset purchase program will end in the third quarter. Once the bond-buying program is completed, the ECB is expected to begin interest rate hikes, following the Bank of England and the US Federal Reserve.
- A substantial rise in automobile output in March bolstered US industrial activity for the third straight month, possibly indicating that the worst of the industry’s production woes from 2021 were passed.
- Oil prices retreated after the release of a larger-than-expected build in the US oil stocks. Brent oil closed at USD 111/barrel while Crude oil WTI closed at USD 107/barrel on Thursday.
- FII (Foreign Institutional Investors) continued to be sellers this week and sold shares worth Rs 63,342mn while DII (Domestic Institutional Investors) continued to be buyers and bought shares worth Rs 27,674 mn.
Things to watch out for next week
- The markets are likely to take cues from corporate earnings, and geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine amid rising inflation globally.
- The Indian markets would react to earnings from IT companies such as Mindtree, Larsen & Toubro Infotech (LTI), and HCL Technologies. While the market leaders have alluded to higher attrition, amidst a robust demand environment, the impact of attrition on smaller companies would be something to watch for.
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