{"id":1469,"date":"2020-10-30T02:37:57","date_gmt":"2020-10-30T02:37:57","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.assetmultiplier.co.in\/blog\/?p=1469"},"modified":"2020-10-30T02:37:57","modified_gmt":"2020-10-30T02:37:57","slug":"expect-impact-of-high-rubber-prices-in-4qfy21-ceat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.assetmultiplier.co.in\/blog\/2020\/10\/30\/expect-impact-of-high-rubber-prices-in-4qfy21-ceat\/","title":{"rendered":"Expect impact of high rubber prices in 4QFY21 &#8211; Ceat"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Update on the Indian Equity Market:<br \/>\nThe Indian markets witnessed a volatile monthly expiry day as Nifty opened the day higher but managed to close 57 points lower at 11,673. Within the index, the gainers were led by ASIANPAINT (3.1%), TECHM (2.2%), and ULTRACEMCO (2.0%) whereas LT (-4.9%), TITAN (-3.4%), and ONGC (-2.9%) were the laggards. Among the sectoral indices, only IT (0.5%) closed the day in green while MEDIA (-1.7%), AUTO (-1.1%), and PHARMA (-0.9%) led the laggards.<br \/>\nExcerpts of an interview with Mr. Anant Goenka, Managing Director, Ceat Ltd (Ceat) published on CNBC-TV18 dated 28th October 2020:<br \/>\nThe company is witnessing a very large demand in the months of October and November from the Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEM). The demand seems challenging from 4QFY21E onwards.<br \/>\nRaw material prices are inching up for the past few days. The increased rubber prices will start coming into effect around 4Q onwards. This will have a negative impact on margins.<br \/>\nHe said that the rural economy has done well for the company. The farm sector has shown 50-60 percent growth in the replacement segment. The revenues are also back to 90 percent of pre-COVID levels. The higher demand is a mix of pent-up demand and a lot of other aspects.<br \/>\nThe higher profitability margins during 1HFY21 were led by favorable mix and t is expected to come down in 2nd half of FY21E.<br \/>\nThe company has completed a capex of Rs 2,500-3000mn YTD (Year-to-Date) and the figure will be around Rs 5,000mn by the end of FY21E and Rs 6,000 mn for FY22E.<br \/>\nBan on Chinese tyres has impacted the PCR replacement demand. However, he said that OEMs are allowed to import Chinese tyres.<br \/>\nConsensus Estimate: (Source: market screener website)<br \/>\nThe closing price of Ceat was \u20b9 1,123\/- as of 29-Oct-2020. It traded at 22x\/ 16x\/ 14x the consensus EPS estimate of \u20b9 51\/ 72\/ 78 for FY21E\/ FY22E\/ FY23E respectively.<br \/>\nThe consensus target price of \u20b9 1,014\/- implies a P\/E multiple of 13x on FY23E EPS of \u20b9 78\/-.<br \/>\nDisclaimer: \u201cThe views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Update on the Indian Equity Market: The Indian markets witnessed a volatile monthly expiry day as Nifty opened the day higher but managed to close 57 points lower at 11,673. Within the index, the gainers were led by ASIANPAINT (3.1%), TECHM (2.2%), and ULTRACEMCO (2.0%) whereas LT (-4.9%), TITAN (-3.4%), and ONGC (-2.9%) were the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[222,566],"tags":[593,592],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.assetmultiplier.co.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1469"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.assetmultiplier.co.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.assetmultiplier.co.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.assetmultiplier.co.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.assetmultiplier.co.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1469"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.assetmultiplier.co.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1469\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1470,"href":"https:\/\/www.assetmultiplier.co.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1469\/revisions\/1470"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.assetmultiplier.co.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1469"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.assetmultiplier.co.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1469"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.assetmultiplier.co.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1469"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}