{"id":1370,"date":"2020-09-17T04:00:22","date_gmt":"2020-09-17T04:00:22","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.assetmultiplier.co.in\/blog\/?p=1370"},"modified":"2020-09-17T04:08:16","modified_gmt":"2020-09-17T04:08:16","slug":"will-not-need-to-dip-into-capital-for-provisioning-indiabulls-housing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.assetmultiplier.co.in\/blog\/2020\/09\/17\/will-not-need-to-dip-into-capital-for-provisioning-indiabulls-housing\/","title":{"rendered":"Will not need to dip into capital for provisioning \u2013Indiabulls Housing"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Update on the Indian Equity Market:<\/p>\n<p>On Wednesday, Nifty closed with0.7% gains at 11,605. Within NIFTY50, DRREDDY (+4.4%), M&#038;M (+4.0%), and HINDALCO (+3.9%) were the top gainers, while INDUSINDBK (-2.0%), NTPC (-1.6%), and INFRATEL (-1.1%) were the top losers. Among the sectoral indices, REALTY(+2.3%), PHARMA (+2.1%), and AUTO (+1.5%) gained the most.  MEDIA (-1.6%) andPSU BANK (-0.5%)ended with losses.<\/p>\n<p>Will not need to dip into capital for provisioning \u2013Indiabulls Housing<\/p>\n<p>Excerpts of an interview with Mr. Gagan Banga, Vice Chairman and MD, Indiabulls Housing Finance (IBULHSGFIN), aired on CNBC-TV18dated 15th September 2020:<br \/>\n\u2022\tIndiabulls Housing has raised Rs 6,830 mn via QIP and Rs 5,220 mn through stake sale in OakNorth bank to build capital buffer. This will be used as growth capital. With this capital raise, the capital adequacy has gone up to 31%.<br \/>\n\u2022\tHigher capital buffer will also help as a positive affirmation for credit rating agencies. Indiabulls Housing has been on a downward rating trajectory from AAA to AA. Management wants to get it back atleast to AA+ levels.<br \/>\n\u2022\tManagement has plans to increase capital further by about Rs 10,000 mn and increase capital adequacy up to 32%.<br \/>\n\u2022\tIn 1QFY21, AUM was flattish and similar trend persists for 2QFY21. Management expects growth from 2HFY21.<br \/>\n\u2022\tIndiabulls Housing continues its strategy of reducing the real estate developer book. The gross developer book has reduced by Rs 180 bn in the last 2 years. In 1QFY21 and 2QFY21 the sell down has been about Rs 30 bn and 21 bn respectively. These developer loans are being refinanced by Indian PSU and private banks, as well as through a few securitization transactions with foreign institutions.<br \/>\n\u2022\tOf the Rs 180 bn sell downs so far, there has been no discount required as the properties are prime with good LTVs of ballpark 50%.<br \/>\n\u2022\tAs a result of reduction in developer loans book, Indiabulls Housing is getting converted into a retail lending focused company.<br \/>\n\u2022\tAs Indiabulls Housing pursues growth in retail book, management expects AUM growth of 10% for FY21E. True to the adopted asset light model, the balance sheet growth will remain lower at 5%.<br \/>\n\u2022\tWithin retail book, the ratio of home loans to Loan Against Property (LAP) is 60:40.LAP segment on a risk adjusted basis has attractive RoA. On the asset quality front, this product has a 50% LTV and monthly principal amortization and the product is performing well.<br \/>\n\u2022\tThrough the last few months, initially 50-55% of LAP borrowers had taken moratorium but by August the number had declined to 20%. By September, the EMIs are getting backed and there is no significant increase in people who are not able to pay.<br \/>\n\u2022\tIndiabulls Housing also raised Rs 15 bn to put into completion of projects which is a positive for the industry. Over the last 60-90 days, apartments across the board are selling at a strong momentum.<br \/>\n\u2022\tIndiabulls Housing is now at a quarterly pre-provisioning operating profit (PPOP) level of about Rs 6,000 mn. Like in 1QFY21, material portion of the PPOP will be used to make provisions throughout FY21E. Indiabulls Housing will not need to dip into capital for provisioning. <\/p>\n<p>Consensus Estimate (Source: market screener and investing.com websites)<br \/>\n\u2022\tThe closing price of IBULHSGFIN was \u20b9 187\/- as of 16-September-2020. It traded at 0.5x\/ 0.5x\/ 0.4x the consensus BVPS estimate of \u20b9 392\/408\/ 445 for FY21E\/ FY22E\/ FY23E respectively.<br \/>\n\u2022\tThe consensus target price of \u20b9 160\/- implies a PE multiple of 0.3x on FY23E EPS of \u20b9 473\/-.<\/p>\n<p>Disclaimer: \u201cThe views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Update on the Indian Equity Market: On Wednesday, Nifty closed with0.7% gains at 11,605. Within NIFTY50, DRREDDY (+4.4%), M&#038;M (+4.0%), and HINDALCO (+3.9%) were the top gainers, while INDUSINDBK (-2.0%), NTPC (-1.6%), and INFRATEL (-1.1%) were the top losers. Among the sectoral indices, REALTY(+2.3%), PHARMA (+2.1%), and AUTO (+1.5%) gained the most. MEDIA (-1.6%) andPSU [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[40,54],"tags":[60,540,541,59],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.assetmultiplier.co.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1370"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.assetmultiplier.co.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.assetmultiplier.co.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.assetmultiplier.co.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.assetmultiplier.co.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1370"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.assetmultiplier.co.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1370\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1371,"href":"https:\/\/www.assetmultiplier.co.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1370\/revisions\/1371"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.assetmultiplier.co.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1370"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.assetmultiplier.co.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1370"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.assetmultiplier.co.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1370"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}