Tag - IT

EBIT margin of 17-17.5% sustainable – Wipro

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Update on the Indian Equity Market:

On Thursday, after a volatile session the benchmark index NIFTY50 ended at 18,258 (+0.3%). Among the sectoral indices, METAL (+3.5%), PHARMA (+1.6%), and PSU BANK (+0.6%) led the gainers while REALTY (-0.7%), BANK (-0.7%), and PRIVATE BANK (-0.6%) led the laggards.

Among the NIFTY50 components, TATASTEEL (+6.3%), JSWSTEEL (+4.3%), and SUNPHARMA (+3.6%) led the gainers. WIPRO (-6.0%), ASIANPAINT (-2.4%), and HCLTECH (-1.9%) were the top losers.

Wipro recently announced 3QFY22 earnings, which were lower than street estimates. But the fourth-quarter guidance seems to provide some relief to investors.

The top management, MD & CEO Mr. Thierry Delaporte, CFO Mr. Jatin Dalal, and President and CHRO, Mr. Saurabh Govil discussed the highlights of 3QFY22 and their outlook for the upcoming quarters with CNBC-TV 18 on 13th January 2021. Following are the excerpts:

  • Wipro had guided for 2-4% sequential revenue growth in constant currency term for 3Q. The company delivered 3% QoQ revenue growth. There weren’t any one-offs or client loss or massive delivery issues. This is the normal volume of business.
  • The 3% sequential revenue growth is 28% YoY growth. The 3QFY22 revenue growth is the continuation of the growth seen over the last 5 quarters.
  • The CEO does not expect a significant contribution to revenues from the recently concluded acquisitions of Edgile and LeanSwift.
  • The reported EBIT margin was 17.6%, ahead of the guidance of 17-17.5%. The margin delivery has been despite 2 months of salary increment to 80% of its employees. The utilisation is such that there is some headroom for subsequent quarters.
  • The EBIT margin band of 17-17.5% is sustainable for the company in the long term.
  • The attrition for LTM was 22.7% in 3QFY22 and remains a concern industry-wide. It has taken certain measures to cope with higher levels of attrition. First, the company onboarded 10,000 plus employees every quarter and continues to onboard new people. Wipro has increased campus hiring by 70% in FY22. The company is looking at 30,000plus hiring in FY23E. Second, the company continues to laterally hire all skill sets across the globe based on demand. Some of the high-demand areas are cyber security, data, cloud, and newer areas like Salesforce. The company believes the attrition has peaked and expects to see moderate attrition going forward.
  • The company closed the biggest quarter in terms of bookings in 3QFY22. It reflects Wipro’s ability to win in the market. It has the biggest pipeline it ever had as it begins 4QFY22. It has a better win rate compared to previous quarters.
  • The CEO believes the clients’ budgets across industries will continue to increase. The win rate has improved by 300bps over the previous two years.
  • Improvement in price realisation is seen due to the move to high-value services such as cyber security, cloud, and digital. Wipro had made investments in certain skill sets and improved visibility, for which clients are willing to invest.

Asset Multiplier Comments

  • We believe revenue growth will be driven by strong demand, strong pipeline, and order book. The company’s order pipeline has a mix of small, medium, and large deals with the company seeing expansion in mid-sized deals.
  • There is a massive opportunity in the cloud business over the next five years. The Company has been making investments in cloud technology. Cloud opportunity, higher offshoring, and synergies from acquired business are expected to drive profitability for Wipro in the near term.

Consensus Estimate: (Source: market screener website)

  • The closing price of Wipro was ₹ 650/- as of 13-January-2022. It traded at 30x/ 25x/ 22x the consensus earnings estimates of ₹ 22/ 26/ 29/- for FY22E/FY23E/FY24E respectively.
  • The consensus target price of ₹ 703/- implies a P/E Multiple of 24x on FY24E EPS estimate of ₹ 29/-.

Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

Best Demand Environment in a Decade – Tech Mahindra

Update on the Indian Equity Market:

On Wednesday, NIFTY closed lower at 18,211 (-0.3%) dragged by MEDIA (-2.0%), METAL (-1.5%) and PRIVATEBANK (-1.4%). PSU BANK (+2.1%), IT (+1.0%) and PHARMA (+0.9%) were the gaining sectors. The top gainers in NIFTY50 were ASIANPAINT (+4.1%), UPL (+3.8%), and DIVISLAB (+2.3%). The top losers were AXISBANK (-6.5%), BAJFINANCE (-4.8%), and ONGC (-3.5%).

Edited excerpts of an interview with Mr. C P Gurnani, MD, and CEO of Tech Mahindra with CNBCTV18 on 26th Oct 2021:

  • The company is committed to the high growth trajectory over the full year of FY22, which resulted in its highest ever sequential growth in a decade. Every business segment has reported sequential growth in Q2FY22.
  • The Company has a best-in-class geographic mix with North America contributing less than 50%, Europe contributing 25%, and the Rest of the World Contributing 25%, with a geographical presence in 90 Countries. The company is well diversified in terms of geography.
  • The Company increased its guidance of around 500-600 Mn USD in Deal wins to 750 Mn to 1 Bn USD over the next few quarters, on the back of a robust deal pipeline and sustained growth in the demand environment.
  • The Company plans to improve its margins by keeping control on sub-contracting costs which are at historically high levels. Utilisation has reduced due to fresher intake in the last quarter, which the company expects to improve over time.
  • Cloud Migration and 5G are the biggest drivers of growth in new deal wins. There’s a huge movement in the legacy to digital business which is expected to continue over the next few quarters.
  • The company made two acquisitions during the quarter- Loadstone and WeMake website. Loadstone has revenue of about 35 Mn USD and is EPS accretive, the other acquisition was IP Driven and is insignificant to the topline.
  • Current levels of attrition are hurting the demand fulfillment of the company and the company plans to reduce attrition by shifting to tier-2 cities and new HR Policies.

 Asset Multiplier Comments

  • The management commentary of continued strength in end demand aided by significant deal wins, and healthy deal pipelines driven by 5G and cloud will help the company sustain its revenue growth guidance.
  • Attrition and supply-side issues are the biggest headwinds for IT Companies. The company’s bottom-line can only see sustained growth if these challenges are dealt with in the upcoming quarters.

Consensus Estimate (Source: market screener website)

  • The closing price of Tech Mahindra was ₹ 1,568/- as of 26-October-21. It traded at 25x/22x/19x the consensus EPS estimate of ₹ 64/73/81 for FY22E/ FY23E/FY24E respectively.
  • The consensus target price of ₹ 1,703/- implies a PE multiple of 21x on FY24E EPS of ₹ 81/-.

 

Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

Organic growth to sustain as guided, no big bang acquisitions planned– HCLTECH

Update on the Indian Equity Market:

On Tuesday, NIFTY50 ended its 7-day winning streak to close at 18,419 (-0.3%), dragged down by REALTY (-4.7%), PSUBANK (-3.7%), and FMCG (-3.2%). The sectoral gainers were IT (2.2%), and FINANCIAL SERVICES (0.2%). Among the stocks, TECHM (+4.3%), LT (+3.3%), and INFY (+1.8%) led the gainers while ITC (-6.3%), TATAMOTORS (-4.9%), and EICHERMOT (-4.5%) were the top laggards.

HCLTECH missed the street estimates in the declared earnings for the quarter ended 30th September 2021. Mr. C Vijayakumar, Chief Executive Officer, and Mr. Prateek Aggarwal, Chief Financial Officer at HCL Technologies discussed the quarter gone by and reaffirmed its annual FY22 guidance in an interview with CNBC-TV18 on 18th October 2021:

  • The Products and Platforms business has been a laggard in FY22, with quarterly slippages affecting the guidance of the segment but the impact is immaterial to the top-line growth, where the company has reaffirmed its EBIT margin guidance of 19-21%.
  • Q2FY22 was the best quarter for the company with unprecedented growth in client mining, large deal wins, and total headcount. The company has introduced a formal dividend pay-out policy on the back of its commitment to rationalise capital allocation.
  • The Company has rolled out the first tranche of wage hikes in Q2FY22 and expects the second tranche to be rolled out in Q3FY22. It expects the slippages in the Products and Platforms business to be recovered in the upcoming quarter.
  • The company had a track record of a high dividend pay-out until FY20. With a significant outflow due to an acquisition, the pay-outs were subdued over the past few quarters. With a recovery in free cash flows and demand from investors, the company has decided to come up with a formal dividend policy with higher pay-outs.
  • The current demand environment has established momentum in the organic business. The company plans to focus on executing current demands rather than go all-in after a major acquisition. The company may add small tuck-ins to expand capabilities or geographies.
  • In Q2Fy22, the company had a strong deal win rate. The pipeline in Q1FY22 was at the highest level ever, it slightly moderated because the company closed a lot of deals.
  • The pipeline has a good mix of mid-size and large deals. There is also a lot of momentum in existing accounts, where customers are ramping up on several digital initiatives, with smaller ticket transformational projects are being taken up by the company.
  • The company expects to exceed its initial guidance on hiring 20,000-22,000 freshers on the back of robust demand and backfilling attrition in the recent quarters.
  • Momentum is seen across all verticals with BFSI and Manufacturing being the leaders. The manufacturing vertical is seeing an uptick in engineering services with various transformational deals and projects being undertaken.

 

Asset Multiplier Comments

  • COVID-19 pandemic has unmistakably created a paradigm shift in the ITES Industry, with a strong focus on digitisation around the world across both size and verticals will result in a high growth period for the industry.
  • HCL Tech like its peers will also continue to face supply-side crunch and attrition problems. The situation is expected to improve over the next few quarters which will help to reduce the margin pressures.

Consensus Estimate: (Source: market screener website)

  • The closing price of HCLTECH was ₹ 1,232/- as of 19-October-2021. It traded at 25x/ 22x/20x the consensus earnings estimate of ₹ 49/ 56/ 63. for FY22E/FY23E/FY24E respectively.
  • The consensus target price of ₹ 1360/- implies a PE multiple of 22x on FY24E EPS of ₹ 63/-.

Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

Expect 30% YoY constant currency revenue growth in 3QFY22 – WIPRO

Update on the Indian Equity Market:

On Monday, NIFTY50 rose for the seventh consecutive session to close at 18,477 (+0.8%), led by PSU BANK (+4.0%), METAL (+3.9%), and IT (+1.6%). The sectoral losers were PHARMA (-0.9%), and MEDIA (-0.7%). Among the stocks, HINDALCO (+5.2%), INFY (+4.8%), and TECHM (+3.7%) led the gainers while M&M (-2.2%), HCLTECH (-2.1%), and DRREDDY (-1.8%) led the laggards.

Wipro recently declared earnings for the quarter ended 30th September 2021, which beat street estimates. Mr. Thierry Delaporte, CEO, Wipro discussed the quarter gone by and his plans for the upcoming quarters with The Economic Times on 18th October 2021:

  • Mr. Delaporte took charge as the CEO of the company during the Covid pandemic. During that time, the company moved into execution mode and it has been fast at defining the people who are going to drive the organisation forward.
  • During the last year, the company has taken bold steps and changed about 30% of the top 200 leaders. It has been an unprecedented change and a lot of talent has also been brought in from outside. Wipro made its biggest acquisition, Capco which is delivering great results.
  • The CEO’s responsibility was to ensure the company remains driven by a sense of purpose and pays attention to the world around it.
  • What needed to change was assertiveness about strategy, running operations, making decisions, and sticking to it. The second thing he wanted to change was raising the bar in terms of ambition, and the third is a ruthless focus on accountability and outcome.
  • Wipro will deliver ~30% year-on-year constant currency revenue growth in 3QFY22E. He expects the growth to continue in FY23E as well, as the company is firing on all cylinders. Wipro will continue to do more acquisitions and possibly a big one.
  • The best performing company in the IT industry is the one with the best talent in terms of quality – people who understand the business and how technology can be leveraged to transform. These are the people Wipro is hiring. The talent is also in terms of quantity because of the increased demand and higher attrition levels.
  • Wipro plans to integrate a lot more freshers. In FY22E, Wipro plans to hire about 16,000-17,000 and 25,000-30,000 in FY23E.
  • He expects higher attrition to continue for the next 3-4 quarters. In 2QFY22, Wipro’s attrition was 20.5% and he expects it to worsen. There’s always seasonality, in the last quarter of the year and people tend to stick around, according to Mr. Delaporte.
  • Wipro would be investing more in 5G and artificial intelligence than in quantum computing right now. He is betting big on engineering services.

 Asset Multiplier Comments

  • The IT sector has been a beneficiary of the increased investment in technologies due to shifting to work from anywhere post the pandemic. While revenue growth is expected for the quarters to come, the sector was also a beneficiary of lower operating costs.
  • As people return to the office for work, some of these costs are expected to come back. The increased pace of vaccinations around the world will likely increase people traveling for work. The talent war has already led to companies rolling out 2-3 wage hikes in a year. With the costs increasing, Wipro like all other IT companies may face margin pressures in the near term.

Consensus Estimate: (Source: market screener website)

  • The closing price of WIPRO was ₹ 711/- as of 18-October-2021. It traded at 32x/ 28x/ 25x the consensus earnings estimate of ₹ 22/ 25/ 28 for FY22E/FY23E/FY24E respectively.
  • The consensus target price of ₹ 676/- implies a PE multiple of 24x on FY24E EPS of ₹ 28/-.

Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

Wage hikes impacted margins in Q1FY22 – Tech Mahindra

Update on the Indian Equity Market:

On Monday, NIFTY ended higher at 15,885 (+0.8%) as it closed near the intraday high level of 15,983. Among the sectoral indices, REALTY (+4.8%), AUTO (+1.4%), and IT (+1.1%) ended higher, and there were no sectoral losers. Among the stocks, TITAN (+3.6%), SHREECEM (+3.5%), and BPCL (+3.1%) led the gainers while UPL (-2.3%), TATASTEEL (-1.5%), and BAJAJFINSV (-0.6%) led the losers. 

Excerpts of an interview with Mr. CP Gurnani, MD&CEO, and Mr. Milind Kulkarni, CFO of Tech Mahindra (TECHM) with CNBC TV18 on 30th July 2021:

  • A few of the things that worked well for TECHM over 1QFY22 were that the company focused on bringing in large deals that help in bringing order backlog and predictability in the operations. 
  • All of the company’s capital allocation is towards cloud and artificial intelligence (AI). TECHM has also made 5G investments in software-defined networks and cloud-based networks. The company usually looks forward to deal wins of US$ 800-1,000 mn every quarter and has signed one of its largest deals in healthcare in 1QFY22.
  • The company did better in a seasonally weak quarter and was able to maintain margins of 15%. There could be tailwinds coming from operating leverage and headwinds coming in terms of a higher cost of the employee addition and retention. Yet, the company is confident of maintaining the EBITDA margin.
  • Speaking of the company’s costs, there have been two increases. One is the salary increments, second is that the company had to employ a higher number of onsite contractors due to Covid restrictions. The company recovered from the impact partly through operational efficiency with improved utilisation of 60 bps and through increased offshoring.
  • Inorganic growth is going to continue to be the company’s differentiator. The company has improved a lot of synergy goal delivery, and integration capability. The company is also getting a lot of management talent through its acquisitions.
  • The company had planned for 16-18% attrition as the overall demand is not only for Tech Mahindra. The management has repurposed the company to look at tier 2 cities like Nagpur, Trivandrum, Chandigarh, Bhubaneshwar, and Kolkata for hiring. But the management may give another salary hike if the market moves in that direction.

Asset Multiplier Comments

  • As the country recovers from the second covid wave, the strong demand for the entire IT sector augurs well for the company in the mid to long term.
  • With strong deal wins, robust pipeline, margin levers like automation, offshoring, and cost optimization by centralising the back offices of newly acquired entities, TECM is confident of delivering 15%+ EBIT Margins. We believe this confidence is justified. 

Consensus Estimate: (Source: market screener website)

  • The closing price of TECHM was ₹ 1,206/- as on 2-August-2021.  It traded at 19x/18x/16x the consensus earnings estimate of ₹ 63/69/77 for FY22E/FY23E/FY24E respectively.
  • The consensus target price of ₹ 1,210/- implies a PE multiple of 16x on FY24E EPS of ₹ 77/-.

Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

Confident of double-digit growth in FY22 – HCL Tech

Update on the Indian Equity Market:

On Thursday, NIFTY ended higher at 15,824 (+1.2%) as it closed near the intraday high level of 15,835. METAL (+3.0%), IT (+1.8%), and REALTY (+1.75%) led the sectoral gainers and there were no sectoral losers. Among the stocks, JSWSTEEL (+5.9%), TECHM (+5.4%), and BAJFINANCE (+4.2%) led the gainers while HINDUNILVR (-2.3%), ASIANPAINT (-1.8%), and BAJAJ-AUTO (-1.2%) led the losers.

Excerpts of an interview with Mr. C Vijayakumar, CEO & MD, and Mr. Prateek Aggarwal, CFO of HCL Technologies (HCLTECH) published with CNBC TV18 on 20th July 2021:

  • The company has seen a second consecutive quarter of revenue miss due to execution capabilities getting hit by the second Covid wave, and the company has a lot of concentration in NCR. As the revenue will recover in Q2FY22, the company is confident of the full year’s double-digit growth performance.
  • Speaking on segments, the products and platform segment has been disappointing for the last two quarters. The company expects a low single-digit growth for this segment, as around 25% of the products are either declining in nature or are being discontinued. IT services had a muted quarter, due to some executions and transitions in Europe that are taking longer than expected.
  • The company is expanding in new markets (geographically) categorized as Focus countries and New Frontier countries. The company has a reasonable presence in the countries under the Focus category and the growth rate will be higher than the company growth rate. New frontier countries are mid to long-term bets. These markets have to be built and are expected to give good outcomes in a couple of years.
  • The deals that the company has won are organic in nature, and a lot of them require to be built by hiring more talent, and onboarding them. The hiring of freshers could be more than the current guidance of 20,000-22,000. Speaking on salary hikes, the salaries are currently the same at entry-level, but the company expects to see a salary hike percentage in the next couple of years to be more than the rest of the company.
  • The company has accomplished a very good quality order book in the last 2 quarters, a lot of it being good long-term programs having annuity revenues, and are good capacity programs for digital transformation.

Asset Multiplier Comments

  • As the country recovers from execution capability-related issues caused by the second covid wave, the revenues can be expected to recover in FY22.
  • A strong order book that contributes to annuity revenues will position the company better in the mid to long term.

Consensus Estimate: (Source: market screener website)

  • The closing price of HCLTECH was ₹ 979/- as of 22-July-2021. It traded at 20x/17x/16x the consensus earnings estimate of ₹ 50/57/62 for FY22E/FY23E/FY24E respectively.
  • The consensus target price of ₹ 975/- implies a PE multiple of 16x on FY24E EPS of ₹ 62/-.

Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

Combined proposition with CAPCO is a game changer – WIPRO

Update on the Indian Equity Market:

On Monday, NIFTY closed 1.1% down at 15,752. Top gainers in NIFTY50 were NTPC (+2.0%), BPCL(+1.6%), and DIVISLAB (+1.0%). The top losers were HDFCBANK (-3.3%), INDUSINDBK (-2.8%), and HDFCLIFE (-2.7%). The only sectors to gain wereREALTY (+0.4%), and PHARMA (+0.2%) while the top sectoral losers were PRIVATE BANK(-2.0%), FINANCIAL SERVICES (-1.9%), and BANK (-1.9%).

Combined proposition with CAPCO is a game changer – WIPRO

Excerpts of an interview with the Management (CEO, CFO, and Chief Human Resources Officer) of Wipro, aired on CNBC TV18 dated 16th July 2021:

  • WIPRO has guided to an annual revenue run rate of US$ 10 bn.
  • Management said they will focus on driving consistent progression for growth and take a quarterly view. For 2QFY22, management has guided to a sequential growth of 5%-7%.
  • WIPRO has taken some steps in the last 12 months in terms of a simpler operating model, greater focus on growth, more focused strategy, focus on talent acquisition and development. The company has executed on these streams and customers and partner ecosystems have started responding to these improvements.
  • Management has created a buzz by saying that they would make a significant announcement in relation to their Cloud business over the next few weeks. Without giving any further details, the management has only said that the announcement would set their ambition in the cloud space more clearly.
  • WIPRO saw margin pressure in 1QFY22. Management has reiterated that capturing the growth momentum remains their priority, so they will continue to undertake investments.
  • Management had earlier guided for the margins to be in the band of 17% to 17.5%. 1QFY22 margins were well ahead of that at 18.8%.
  • 2QFY22 will also have some margin headwinds as the company will continue making investments to recapture demand, focus on talent retention by way of salary increase, and full quarter integration impact of CAPCO deal. However, the management remains optimistic regarding the quality of operating leverage that company can create in the growth phase going ahead.
  • WIPRO’s attrition in 1QFY22 was higher than industry levels. The management is confident that the supply chain processes have been finetuned to ensure demand servicing so they won’t face any issues.
  • Management is tackling the high attrition issue by focusing on fresher intake, salary hikes, quality of work, rescaling, and engagement. As a result of all these interventions, attrition will come to a much more manageable number moving forward.
  • As an update on the CAPCOdeal, management said that while these are still early days of the integration, the partnership is moving in the right direction. The way the two teams are connecting and complementing each other is good. Management has identified severalclients where they are offering the combined proposition. The level of response from clients is also very good and the teams have had several deal wins together.

 

Asset Multiplier comments:

  • Companies across the IT industry have been facing a talent supply crunch. While this is a good sign as the supply is chasing the higher demand, it is not without its drawbacks.
  • Lower talent availability leads to higher demand, better opportunities, and hence higher attrition. Attrition beyond control may put a roadblock in deal ramp-ups as there is a time lag that goes into new hire training. In addition, talent retention begins to cost more, thus limiting the operating margins.

 

Consensus Estimate: (Source: market screener website)

 

  • The closing price of WIPRO was ₹ 575/- as of 18-July-2021.  It traded at 26x/ 23x/ 21x the consensus earnings estimate of ₹ 22.0/ 24.5/ 27.2for FY22E/23E/24E respectively.
  • The consensus price target is ₹ 545/- which trades at 20x the earnings estimate for FY24E of ₹ 27.2/-

 

Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

 

Double-Digit revenue growth expected in FY22 – Mindtree

Update on Indian Equity Market:

On Thursday, markets ended higher with Nifty closing 70 points to close at 15,924. HCLTECH (+5.0%), L&T (+3.7%), WIPRO (+3.0%) were the top gainers on the index while ONGC (-3.0%), EICHERMOT (-1.3%) and BHARTIARTL (-0.9%) were the top losers for the day. Among the sectoral indices,  REALTY (+4.2%), IT (+1.3%), and BANK (+0.7%) were top gainers, while AUTO (-0.4%), MEDIA (-0.4%), and PSUBANK (-0.3%) were the losers.

Excerpts of an interview with Debashis Chatterjee, MD, and CEO of Mindtree on CNBCTV18 dated 14th July 2021:

  • Robust Deal Pipeline and order book growth was seen and more renewals led to an increase in the scope of the value of the deals and the new deal wins have been characterised by multi-year long-term deals and not just project-based deals.
  • The company’s strategy of 4x4x4 across 4 of its major service lines is helping the company cross-sell and upsell a lot of the services in the existing deals in its 4 service lines of Customer Service, Data Analytics, Cloud Management, and Enterprise IT.
  • The company has guided for double-digit revenue growth of around 20% and improved EBIT margins in FY22. It hopes to achieve this as a result of the foundational changes in cost efficiencies it has done over the last 2-3 years.
  • Quarter specific and client specific headwinds may occur on the margins front. With the opening up of client businesses and increase in revenue growth aided discretionary spending, the company expects a topline growth as well.
  • The company is rolling a subsequent wage hike in Q2FY22 to deal with high levels of attrition currently faced by the industry. The company plans to undertake significant outreach programs with its personnel to manage attrition.
  • BFSI is seeing significant revival and the company expects its client base and deal wins to grow over the next few quarters after covid-induced consolidations. As far as the Travel Sector is concerned the effects of the pandemic are still looming. Full recovery may take some quarters, new contactless business models may help the company with new deal wins as the clients reimagine their business models.

Asset Multiplier Comments:

  • All Indian IT companies are enjoying the tailwinds arising out of the pandemic. Mindtree is well poised to grow further due to growth in upcoming technologies.
  • The Company is making efforts to deal with the issue of rising attrition. The rising attrition is a result of a talent war in the Indian IT Industry due to the low supply of skilled professionals.

Consensus Estimates (Source: market screener website): 

  • The closing price of Mindtree was ₹ 2,732/- as of 15-July-2021.  It traded at 33x/30x/25x the EPS estimate of ₹ 84/ ₹ 92/ ₹ 108 for FY22E/23E/24E respectively.
  • The consensus price target is ₹ 2,830/- which trades at 26x the EPS estimate for FY24E of ₹ 108/-

Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

Net margins to remain around 14%: L&T Infotech

Update on Indian Equity Markets:

The upward momentum in Indian markets supported by RBI announcements continued on Thursday as Nifty closed the day 107 points higher at 14,725. Within the index, HINDALCO (5.7%), HEROMOTO (4.7%), and WIPRO (4.4%) were the highest gainers while UPL (-1.4%), BAJAJFINSV (-1.0%) and POWERGRID (-1.0%) were few of the losers. Within the sectoral indices, METAL (2.5%), IT (1.8%), and AUTO (1.8%) led the gainers while PSU BANK (-1.2%), PHARMA (-0.2%), and PVT BANK (-0.1%) were the only losers..

Excerpts of an interview with Mr. Sanjay Jalona, CEO, L&T Infotech (LTI) with CNBC -TV18 dated 5th May 2021:

  • The Company will focus on investing for growth and localization in FY22E. The management is confident of achieving growth in the leaders quadrant for FY22E. 
  • The energy sector has been underperforming given the shift to renewable energy. The Company is expected to witness new avenues for growth in the segment. The management also believes that the ability for insurance companies to spend on discretionary has gone down.
  • The Company reported a 320 bps YoY improvement in EBIT margin with the help of cost rationalization efforts. He highlighted that the Company is expected to produce net margins in the narrow band of around 14 percent.
  • The Company gave FY21 wage hikes in January and has advanced the FY22 wage hike cycle to April from earlier norms of July. He said that the war for talent and attrition is going up in the Information Technology space.
  • The Company witnessed lower exit velocity, record hiring, and improved customer sentiment. The attrition rate is going up for the industry and by offering early wage hikes, Company is trying to stay ahead of the industry curve.

Asset Multiplier Comments:

  • The lower attrition rates and earlier wage hikes will help Company to retain the top talent to deliver growth for the Company. Hence the Company is confident of growth in the leaders quadrant for FY22E.
  • Tailwinds of work from home and other cost rationalizations are expected to help the Company to achieve net margins target of around 14%.

Consensus Estimates (Source: market screener website):

  • The closing price of LTI was ₹ 3,814/- as of 6-May-2021.  It traded at 30x/ 26x the consensus EPS estimate of ₹ 126.2/ 144.8 for 22E/23E respectively.
  • The consensus price target is ₹ 3,960/- which trades at 27x the EPS estimate for FY23E of ₹ 144.8/-

Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

 

Expanding hiring of freshers based on demand – HCL Tech

Update on Indian Equity Markets:

Markets continued their upward momentum on Tuesday as Nifty closed the day 174 points higher at 14,659. Within the index, HINDALCO (5.1%), TATASTEEL (3.9%) and DIVISLAB (3.5%) were the highest gainers while HDFCLIFE (-3.6%), SBILIFE (-1.4%) and MARUTI (-0.9%) were few of the losers. All the sectoral indices closed in green with METAL (2.8%), PSUBANK (2.5%) and MEDIA (1.8%) leading the pack. 

Excerpts of an interview with Mr C Vijaykumar, CEO and Prateek Aggarwal, CFO, HCL Technologies Ltd (HCLTECH) with CNBC -TV18 dated 26th April 2021:

  • During the Mar-21 quarter, bookings stood at $3.1bn, led by 19 large deal wins. These deals are spread across geographies and industries. Most deals are spread across 3-5 years, of which four are integrated across service lines.
  • The Company has prepared a list of seven countries i.e. Germany, Canada, Japan, Spain, Portugal, Mexico and Brazil. These are countries witnessing a large and growing IT market where the Company is currently not present. Setting up offices in new countries is a one-time exercise.
  • The Company is also expanding hiring in the freshers space, considering the demand for the next few years. The hiring also involves certain cost elements.
  • The Company has launched HCL Now, which is the Cloud version of its acquired products. This is strengthening partnerships of HCLTECH with hyperscalers.
  • The Company is expected to deliver double-digit growth in constant currency. The management highlighted that they have provided floor price on revenue growth for next year. 
  • The products and platforms business had an impairment charge of $16mn, leading to a 60 bps impact on margins.   

Asset Multiplier Comments:

  • Backed by deal wins in both small and big pockets and continued momentum in cloud and data, the company looks set to achieve its target of double-digit growth over FY22E.
  • Setting up offices in new countries to expand the geographical presence is expected to create a revenue stream and diversify the revenue base for the Company in the long run.

Consensus Estimates (Source: market screener website):

  • The closing price of HCLTECH was ₹ 928/- as of 27-April-2021.  It traded at 18x/ 16x the consensus EPS estimate of ₹ 51.0/ 57.4 for 22E/23E respectively.
  • The consensus price target is ₹ 1,119/- which trades at 19x the EPS estimate for FY23E of ₹ 57.4/-

Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”